By Kshell
This NBA Finals is probably the most anticipated NBA Finals we have seen since Magic Johnson and his Los Angeles Lakers took on Michael Jordan and the Chicago Bulls in the 1991 NBA Finals. This match up is so intriguing because it appears to be two eras clashing against each other. You have the San Antonio Spurs who are going to their fifth NBA finals who represent the old dynasty. Their face of the franchise is Tim Duncan who was the #1 pick in the NBA back in 1997. The Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich is 64 years old. The Miami Heat on the other hand are the team that is seen as the next dynasty led by their face Lebron James who is only 28 years and just won his fourth MVP in five seasons. Their head coach is Erik Spoelstra who is only 42 years old. In fact the age difference in the coaches is the largest in NBA finals history. This series is intriguing also because these are the two best teams in the NBA and demonstrated all season long they were the best teams. This series also features four NBA Finals MVP's in Lebron James, Dwyane Wade, Tim Duncan and Tony Parker. This finals also has future hall of famers Chris Bosh, Manu Ginobili and Ray Allen. This series has the star power element to it. In this following post I'll preview this finals and offer up my prediction.
1. Which star player is going to increase his legacy this series with a championship performance?
The last time we saw Tim Duncan in the NBA Finals was in 2007 when he swept the 22 year old rising star Lebron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Tim Duncan after that sweep told James after the game this league will be his and thanked him for letting him get one last championship. For Duncan it took him six more years to go back to the NBA Finals. For James he had to wait five more years before winning his first title. Both players if they retired today would be in the top 10 all-time in NBA history for greatest players to have ever lived. If Duncan can win his fifth NBA title in a span of 14 years he could rise in the top 5. Duncan also saves his best for the NBA Finals as he is a three-time NBA Finals MVP. In 22 career NBA Finals games Duncan is 16-6 and has been a monster in those finals. He is averaging 22.7 PPG, 14.4 RPG, 3.4 APG and 3.04 blocks per game. In the 2003 NBA Finals win over the New Jersey Nets Duncan in six games averaged 24.1 PPG, 17.0 RPG, 5.3 APG and 5.3 blocks per game. That might be the greatest performance in NBA Finals History.
Lebron James has had a mixed bag for the NBA Finals so far in his career. In 2007 when he was swept by Duncan and the Spurs he only averaged 22.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 6.8 APG. He also shot 35.6% from the field which was very un Lebron like. In 2011 against Dallas was Lebron's low point of his career where only averaged 17.8 PPG, 7.2 RPG and 6.8 APG as he was only the teams' third leading scorer. That all changed for James last year when he was NBA Finals MVP against the Zombie Sonics. He averaged 28.6 PPG, 10.2 RPG and 7.4 APG which were all NBA Finals career highs. This postseason James is playing great once again averaging 26.2 PPG, 7.3 RPG and 6.4 APG. His stats don't tell the whole story as he rested a lot in the first round sweep of the Milwaukee Bucks. At the end of this series one of these two guys are going to greatly improve their legacy. I expect both players to have huge series as I don't see either team stopping Duncan who made NBA First Team at the age of 37 years old or Lebron James who is in his prime.
2. Whichever struggling star rises up this series their team wins the title:
I'm sure everyone has heard about the struggles of Miami Heat superstar Dwyane Wade by now but the Spurs are waiting for their key player Manu Ginobili to step up this series. For Ginobili and Wade this will be their fourth NBA Finals trip and neither team will win the title if they continue to struggle. Ginobili this postseason has been pretty bad averaging only 11.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG and 5.4 APG while shooting only 38.3% from the field.
For Wade he has also been dreadful this postseason averaging only 14.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG and 4.9 APG while shooting only 44.7% from the field. He was especially bad against the Indiana Pacers until game 7 when he scored 21 points his first 20 point outing since game two of the first round. Wade does tend to play his best in the NBA Finals though. In 17 career Finals games Wade is averaging 28.2 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 4.7 APG, 1.88 steals and 1.23 blocks which is pretty impressive. In the 2006 NBA Finals he was Finals MVP as he averaged 34.7 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 3.8 APG, 2.7 steals per game and 1.0 blocks per game. If Wade plays like he is capable the Heat should win the series. However given he is 31 years old and breaking down who knows what the Heat will get from Wade?
The same could be said for Ginobili who hasn't scored in double figures in four of his last five postseason games. Ginobili is going be 36 this summer and a big part of the reason why the Spurs haven't reached the NBA Finals since 2007. He hasn't been healthy since then. In the Finals he has played well in the past in 2007 he averaged 17.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG and 2.5 APG. In 2005 he averaged 18.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG and 4.0 APG. In 2003 he was more of a role player back then but he was a huge part of the last two championship teams. If the Spurs can get Ginobili to return to what he's capable of they'll win the title.
I feel like this is the series right here. I know James, Parker and Duncan will play well. If Wade can play like Wade the Heat have the advantage but if Wade struggles the Spurs have the slight edge. If Ginobili can give the Spurs something they've been missing from him this whole postseason they could very well win the title.
3. Will Tony Parker claim title of NBA's best point and have a similar performance like his NBA Finals MVP performance in 2007?
I remember when Parker was in his first NBA Finals in 2003 the sub plot was the Spurs were going to get rid of him and sign the man he was going up against Jason Kidd. Now Parker might be the NBA's best point guard(It's him or Chris Paul). Parker is having a great playoffs so far as this has been his team since 2011 when the Spurs went from being an old aging dynasty to rejuvenated. Parker this postseason is averaging 23.0 PPG, 7.2 APG and 3.9 RPG. In the Western Conference Finals sweep vs the Memphis Grizzlies Parker averaged 24.5 PPG, 9.5 APG and 3.5 RPG. He shot a ridiculous 26-43(60.4%) from the field in the games final two games.
This is nothing new for Parker on the big stage as he has 17 NBA Finals starts under his belt. He was the NBA Finals MVP against Lebron James in the 2007 NBA Finals. He averaged 24.5 PPG, 5.0 RPG and 3.3 APG while shooting 56.8% from the field and 57.1% from three pointers that series. Parker is a five-time all-star and has made second team all-NBA the last two seasons. Another strong Finals this year for Parker would put him as the best point guard in the game right now. Also historically he would be the starting point guard on four title teams. Three of those teams he'd been the best player or second best player on the team. Parker has to come up huge for the Spurs to have a chance and most likely will be having Lebron James cover him in the fourth quarter.
4. Will Chris Bosh make an appearance this Finals after no showing in the ECF?
Chris Bosh has struggled this postseason and especially in the last four games. These playoffs he is only averaging 12.3 PPG and 6.6 RPG. In the last four games Bosh is averaging only 7.0 PPG and 5.0 RPG. He is shooting 8-34(23.5%) in that four game stretch as well. Roy Hibbert completely took Bosh out of the series with his height and physicality. Bosh was over matched and lost his confidence. However, he is facing a team that he's done well against this year in their two meetings. Bosh averaged 20.5 PPG and 10.5 RPG against the Spurs while shooting 58.6% from the field. Bosh also had a memorable moment this year against the Spurs. The Heat were playing without Lebron James, Dwyane Wade and Mario Chalmers at San Antonio in late March. The Heat somehow were only trailing by one point when Chris Bosh hit the game winning three pointer . I don't think the Spurs are as physical as the Pacers are so Bosh should be in his comfort zone.
Bosh has played well in the last two NBA Finals as well. In the 2011 NBA Finals loss Bosh actually out scored Lebron as he averaged 18.5 PPG and led the team in rebounds with 7.3 per game. Last year in the Finals he was coming off an injury and played well again averaging 14.6 PPG and 9.4 RPG. In the clinching game Bosh scored 24 points and had 7 rebounds as he shot 9-14(64.3%) from the field. The Heat obviously can't win the title if Bosh provides them nothing. Bosh has to step up and I think in this match up he should do much better.
Prediction: Heat win in six games
The Miami Heat are the best team in the NBA, have home court advantage, have the best player in the game while in his prime and also haven't lost back to back games since January. This postseason when the Heat do lose a game they respond by beating their opponent by an average of 22.6 points per game. I think they have been playing around with their opponents like last years postseason saw. Last year the aging Boston Celtics pushed the Heat to elimination before the Heat won in seven. Then everyone doubted them against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Heat won in five games in what was their easiest series of the playoffs since the first round.
I expect the Spurs to get a split in Miami and I think this series will be tied at two games a piece. Unlike in 2011 I think the Heat win the pivotal game five on the road then come back home to celebrate. The Heat are in the Finals despite Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh and Ray Allen all underachieving. Those players are all due to break out and if they just break out even slightly you see what can happen . This is James league now and Duncan prophecy will come true. This is now James league and Duncan was fortunate to go up against James when he was 22 years old. Like James said recently he is 50 times better than he was then. He's won two gold medals, four NBA MVP's and a championship since that time. Teams who have reached the NBA Finals for the third straight year have won the last five times(1990 Detroit Pistons, 1993 Chicago Bulls, 1998 Chicago Bulls, 2002 Los Angeles Lakers, and 2010 Los Angeles Lakers). Just like in 1991 the new up and coming dynasty is going to take out the old dynasty.
Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 5, 2013
Tuesday, June 12, 2012
2012 NBA Finals preview + prediction
By Kshell
The dream NBA Finals match up that every casual basketball fan has wanted has finally arrived with three-time MVP Lebron James and the Miami Heat taking on the three-time defending scoring champion Kevin Durant. Both players will be the face of team USA this summer in London. Both of are the best players in the world who happen to play the same position. Both guys are also looking for their first championship ring in their young careers. Both guys have also left a city bitter with James having the "decision" which still has Cleveland fans pissed off. While Durant has done nothing wrong the man who signs his checks moved the Seattle Supersonics to Oklahoma City and us Seattle fans are still hurt about losing our team along with Durant. In this post I'll break down my three keys to the series while reflecting back on the Sonics situation. Then at the end I'll offer up prediction on the series as the Oklahoma City Thunder are the heavy favorites this series after defeating the San Antonio Spurs four straight games while the Heat struggled to beat an aging Boston Celtics team in seven games.
1. Who will emerge from this Finals as the best player in the NBA?
What makes this NBA Finals so unique unlike previous other finals is that so much is riding on the superstars of each team. Fair or not the winner of this series will see their star emerge as the best player in the NBA. In most sports the role players step up and win MVP's sometimes in championship series but in the NBA the MVP is almost always the best player on their own team. This postseason both players are playing surpurb basketball. For the Heat Lebron James is averaging 30.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG and 5.1 APG. He is averaging 42:22 minutes a game in 18 games while recording 1.9 steals and 0.8 blocks per game. He is making 1.1 three pointers a game and shooting 50.8% from the field. He is also getting to the foul line averaging 10.4 free throws a game. In the Eastern Conference Finals win over the Celtics James was terrific averaging 33.6 PPG, 11.0 RPG and 3.9 APG. James though has struggled in 10 career Finals games averaging only 19.6 PPG and has yet to score more than 25 points.
His counterpart will be Kevin Durant who will be playing in his very first of probably many NBA Finals. Durant these playoffs is also playing terrific averaging 27.8 PPG, 7.9 RPG and 4.2 APG. In 15 games he is averaging 41:33 minutes a game while recording 1.5 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. He is making 1.9 three pointers a game while shooting 50.5% from the field, 36.4% on three pointers and 87.0% on 8.2 free throw attempts. Durant has defeated the Dallas Mavericks, Los Angeles Lakers and then the hottest team in the NBA the San Antonio Spurs. All three teams have represented the Western Conference in the NBA Finals the last 13 seasons including 10 championships. I have a feeling the Durant-Lebron rivalry is about to reach Bird-Magic territory as this won't be the only time these two will square off in the NBA Finals.
Whoever wins this matchup will most likely be hoisting the Larry O'Brien trophy. I can't see a scenario where either player has even an average series by their own high standards and their team prevailing. One of these two is about to be the face of the NBA, team USA basketball and win their first ever championship and that is all in their hands.
2. Nobody likes a third wheel except for both these teams:
In this series Kevin Durant-Lebron James battle will grab the first, second and third headlines. The next headlines will be the battle between Dwyane Wade and Russell Westbrook who will also be a fun matchup as both are combo guards. If those matchups cancel each other out as they'll be going up against each other offensively and defensively then this series could be decided by the "third wheel's" on each team. For the Zombies Sonics that is sixth man of the year James Harden and for the Heat that is six-time all-star Chris Bosh who is coming off injury. Currently Bosh like Harden is coming off the bench and I actually like that move as he provides instant offense off the bench which teams have used to win a title recently with Jason Terry, Lamar Odom, and Manu Giniboli.
The man with the incredible beard James Harden has been great all year and especially in these playoffs with already two big moments(both of which were on the road against Dallas in game four and San Antonio in game five). Harden these playoffs is averaging 17.6 PPG, 5.2RPG, 3.3 APG and 1.7 steals per game in 31:04 minutes while coming off the bench. Harden is shooting 45.2% from the field, making 1.7 three pointers a game on 44.6% shooting and 87.3% of his free throws on 6.8 attempts. He is playing incredible this postseason as he has the third highest PER rating behind on James and Durant.
Meanwhile Bosh who got hurt during game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals has finally returned while coming off the bench. In this postseason Bosh has played in only nine games making six starts. He is averaging 13.7 PPG and 6.9 RPG in 28:28 minutes per game. He is shooting 52.3% from the field and making 80.0% of his free throws on 3.9 attempts. He has also made 0.6 three pointers a game on 62.5% shooting. In game seven he was a huge spark for the Heat making a career high three three pointers as he scored 19 points while pulling down eight rebounds as he looked healthy.
Harden will be guarded in crunch time by Shane Battier while Bosh will be guarded by Serge Ibaka who is better at blocking shots not necessarily playing on the perimeter. If either guy can go off and help ease the load of their two stars this could be what is needed to shift this series. Both guys are very capable of erupting for 30 plus at home or on the road.
3. Like Will Ferrell and Mark Wahlberg the other guys can save the day:
This series will be defined by Lebron vs Duant, Westbrook vs Wade and the two major 6th men stars. What could swing a game or two in this series is the other guys headlined by the Zombie Sonics Serge Ibaka. The Miami Heat trio of Lebron-Wade-Bosh scored the final 31 points of their game seven win over Boston. In these playoffs the Heat big three is averaging 67.4 PPG, 10.0 APG and 21.5 RPG. They are also getting 4.0 steals and 3.0 blocks per game while hitting 2.1 three pointers a game. The "other guys" on the Heat are averaging 28.7 PPG, 7.3 APG and 19.0 RPG. They are also getting 3.5 steals and 2.3 blocks per game while drilling 4.3 three pointers a game.
The Oklahoma City trio of Durant-Westbrook-Harden is averaging 67.1 PPG, 13.1 APG and 18.2 RPG. They are also getting 4.9 steals and 1.8 blocks per game while hitting 4.6 three pointers. The "other guys" on the Zombie Sonics are averaging 35.2 PPG, 5.6 APG, and 22.1 RPG. They are also getting 4.2 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while hitting 2.3 three pointers a game. As you can see the Zombies "other guys" are more explosive than the Heat. The Zombies feature Serge Ibaka who these playoffs is averaging 10.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG and 3.3 blocks per game.
For the Heat their main "other guy" is Mario Chalmers who is averaging 11.6 PPG, 3.9 RPG and 3.9 APG while making 1.4 three pointers a game. The Heat don't have a deep roster there is a reason why head coach Erik Spoelstra started three different guys at center in the Celtics series alone and basically only played the big three along with Udonis Haslem, Shane Battier and Chalmers. The Zombies though have the edge in talent and championship experience with Kendrick Perkins and Derek Fisher who have combined played in nine NBA Finals while winning six NBA championships.
The national media has it all wrong and that's a damn shame!
I'm already getting annoyed with how Lebron James and the Miami Heat are the "villains" because he chose to leave his hometown team for less money to pursue a championship(already in two seasons been to more NBA finals than in seven seasons in Cleveland) while most on ESPN are covenietly ignoring how Oklahoma City became Oklahoma City. The Thunder were flat out stolen from the Sonics as Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, Serge Ibaka and Collison were all drafted by Seatle. To pretend they are the heartfelt good guys is a slap in the face to all those in Seattle who grew up as Sonics fans.
I understand the national media doesn't want to hate on Oklahoma City or be disrespectful towards them as this is their moment. Just don't pretend they are the good guys either while Miami is the villains because that is simply not the case. We have suffered a lot in recent years with the Seahawks not having a winning season since 2007, the Mariners lost 95+ games three of the last four seasons while finishing in last place six of the last eight seasons. For our college fans the Washington Huskies going 0-12 in the Tyrone Willingham era and for the Washington State Cougars fans going 9-40 the last four seasons in the Paul Wulff era. The Sonics with Kevin Durant was supposed to be our reward and we didn't even get that. Hopefully the Sonics return(they'll be here sooner than people think you watch) I hope we are awarded a talent like Durant as this city is so overdue. At least Cleveland got the experiene of Lebron James for seven years. We got to experience Durant for one season in a lameduck year that was full on rebuild mode. Seattle fans got robbed and the national media continues to piss down our back and tell us it's raining isn't helping either.
Prediction: Heat in six games
As if I was going to take Oklahoma City in this series. In reality I'm making this prediction for basketball related reasons and I'm even wagering money on the Heat to win. I can't believe a team that features Lebron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh is being underestiminated but they are. The Heat I feel are more battle tested than the Thunder after playing in the NBA Finals just last year plus are always under the media spotlight so this is nothing new to them. While the young Thunder are on center stage for the first time. Durant especially has received a free pass from the media his entire career if he starts to slump and James is going off that won't happen this series. Westbrook has already received some backlash last year but it won't be like it is now if he struggles in the Finals. I do think experience plays a role as well as the losing team from the previous year in the NBA finals who happens to reach the finals the next year has won the championship four out of seven times since 1980. Two of those champions the 1988 Detroit Pistons and 2009 Los Angeles Lakers would actually go on to win the next two titles. The teams that lost were the 1984 Lakers who would win the title following season, 1998 Utah Jazz who lost to the Michael Jordan dynasty back to back and the 2003 New Jersey Nets who came from the weakest east ever.
Now since 1980 when teams with Finals experience went up against teams without it(basically the core players) the team with experience has won 10 of the 14 matchups. The four cases where no experience prevailed was the 1980 Los Angeles Lakers who would go on to win five NBA titles, 1991 Chicago Bulls who would go on to win six NBA titles, 2004 Detroit Pistons who would reach NBA Finals following season and 2008 Boston Celtics who were all veteran future hall of famers. I think both these teams are going to be living in the NBA finals for the rest of this decade as Durant and James are in their prime years.
Besides experience and being battle tested the main reason I'm taking the Heat is I feel like Lebron James is playing the best ball of his career. I also think Lebron has matured and is just focused on winning a title. Last year he worried too much about his critics and was tweeting about his "haters". While this year he seems at peace with himself and that hate towards him isn't as strong as it once was. He is playing like Karl Malone if Malone was able to bring the ball up court and pass. James is playing at a super natural level and defensively he is guarding Rajon Rondo one possession while guarding Kevin Garnett the next. I think he is going to give Durant some problems in those crunch moments plus Wade brings his "A" game in the NBA Finals as Wade in 12 career games has averaged 30.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG and 4.5 APG. Last year in the Finals loss Wade averaged 26.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 5.2 APG as he was having another spectacular finals. In 2006 Wade won the Finals MVP averaging 34.7 PPG, 7.8 RPG and 3.8 APG. For the Heat to win Flash will need to go off once again.
This series is what every fan who doesn't live in Cleveland or Seattle can hope for. We have six stars including four guys who will be on the U.S. Olympic team and a fifth in Bosh depending on his health. All of these guys are in their primes and in the case of both teams best two players play the same position. Westbrook will be going up against Wade in the fourth quarter and more importantly Durant will be squaring off against Lebron in the fourth quarter. America better get used to this matchup as I think this will be the new Magic-Bird of the 1980's which saw one of those two play in nine of the 10 NBA finals in the 1980's winning eight championships. They went up against each other three times as well with Bird winning the first matchup while Magic won the last two. I'm looking forward to this Finals and I truly believe this is the Finals where Lebron silences his critics for good.
The dream NBA Finals match up that every casual basketball fan has wanted has finally arrived with three-time MVP Lebron James and the Miami Heat taking on the three-time defending scoring champion Kevin Durant. Both players will be the face of team USA this summer in London. Both of are the best players in the world who happen to play the same position. Both guys are also looking for their first championship ring in their young careers. Both guys have also left a city bitter with James having the "decision" which still has Cleveland fans pissed off. While Durant has done nothing wrong the man who signs his checks moved the Seattle Supersonics to Oklahoma City and us Seattle fans are still hurt about losing our team along with Durant. In this post I'll break down my three keys to the series while reflecting back on the Sonics situation. Then at the end I'll offer up prediction on the series as the Oklahoma City Thunder are the heavy favorites this series after defeating the San Antonio Spurs four straight games while the Heat struggled to beat an aging Boston Celtics team in seven games.
1. Who will emerge from this Finals as the best player in the NBA?
What makes this NBA Finals so unique unlike previous other finals is that so much is riding on the superstars of each team. Fair or not the winner of this series will see their star emerge as the best player in the NBA. In most sports the role players step up and win MVP's sometimes in championship series but in the NBA the MVP is almost always the best player on their own team. This postseason both players are playing surpurb basketball. For the Heat Lebron James is averaging 30.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG and 5.1 APG. He is averaging 42:22 minutes a game in 18 games while recording 1.9 steals and 0.8 blocks per game. He is making 1.1 three pointers a game and shooting 50.8% from the field. He is also getting to the foul line averaging 10.4 free throws a game. In the Eastern Conference Finals win over the Celtics James was terrific averaging 33.6 PPG, 11.0 RPG and 3.9 APG. James though has struggled in 10 career Finals games averaging only 19.6 PPG and has yet to score more than 25 points.
His counterpart will be Kevin Durant who will be playing in his very first of probably many NBA Finals. Durant these playoffs is also playing terrific averaging 27.8 PPG, 7.9 RPG and 4.2 APG. In 15 games he is averaging 41:33 minutes a game while recording 1.5 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. He is making 1.9 three pointers a game while shooting 50.5% from the field, 36.4% on three pointers and 87.0% on 8.2 free throw attempts. Durant has defeated the Dallas Mavericks, Los Angeles Lakers and then the hottest team in the NBA the San Antonio Spurs. All three teams have represented the Western Conference in the NBA Finals the last 13 seasons including 10 championships. I have a feeling the Durant-Lebron rivalry is about to reach Bird-Magic territory as this won't be the only time these two will square off in the NBA Finals.
Whoever wins this matchup will most likely be hoisting the Larry O'Brien trophy. I can't see a scenario where either player has even an average series by their own high standards and their team prevailing. One of these two is about to be the face of the NBA, team USA basketball and win their first ever championship and that is all in their hands.
2. Nobody likes a third wheel except for both these teams:
In this series Kevin Durant-Lebron James battle will grab the first, second and third headlines. The next headlines will be the battle between Dwyane Wade and Russell Westbrook who will also be a fun matchup as both are combo guards. If those matchups cancel each other out as they'll be going up against each other offensively and defensively then this series could be decided by the "third wheel's" on each team. For the Zombies Sonics that is sixth man of the year James Harden and for the Heat that is six-time all-star Chris Bosh who is coming off injury. Currently Bosh like Harden is coming off the bench and I actually like that move as he provides instant offense off the bench which teams have used to win a title recently with Jason Terry, Lamar Odom, and Manu Giniboli.
The man with the incredible beard James Harden has been great all year and especially in these playoffs with already two big moments(both of which were on the road against Dallas in game four and San Antonio in game five). Harden these playoffs is averaging 17.6 PPG, 5.2RPG, 3.3 APG and 1.7 steals per game in 31:04 minutes while coming off the bench. Harden is shooting 45.2% from the field, making 1.7 three pointers a game on 44.6% shooting and 87.3% of his free throws on 6.8 attempts. He is playing incredible this postseason as he has the third highest PER rating behind on James and Durant.
Meanwhile Bosh who got hurt during game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals has finally returned while coming off the bench. In this postseason Bosh has played in only nine games making six starts. He is averaging 13.7 PPG and 6.9 RPG in 28:28 minutes per game. He is shooting 52.3% from the field and making 80.0% of his free throws on 3.9 attempts. He has also made 0.6 three pointers a game on 62.5% shooting. In game seven he was a huge spark for the Heat making a career high three three pointers as he scored 19 points while pulling down eight rebounds as he looked healthy.
Harden will be guarded in crunch time by Shane Battier while Bosh will be guarded by Serge Ibaka who is better at blocking shots not necessarily playing on the perimeter. If either guy can go off and help ease the load of their two stars this could be what is needed to shift this series. Both guys are very capable of erupting for 30 plus at home or on the road.
3. Like Will Ferrell and Mark Wahlberg the other guys can save the day:
This series will be defined by Lebron vs Duant, Westbrook vs Wade and the two major 6th men stars. What could swing a game or two in this series is the other guys headlined by the Zombie Sonics Serge Ibaka. The Miami Heat trio of Lebron-Wade-Bosh scored the final 31 points of their game seven win over Boston. In these playoffs the Heat big three is averaging 67.4 PPG, 10.0 APG and 21.5 RPG. They are also getting 4.0 steals and 3.0 blocks per game while hitting 2.1 three pointers a game. The "other guys" on the Heat are averaging 28.7 PPG, 7.3 APG and 19.0 RPG. They are also getting 3.5 steals and 2.3 blocks per game while drilling 4.3 three pointers a game.
The Oklahoma City trio of Durant-Westbrook-Harden is averaging 67.1 PPG, 13.1 APG and 18.2 RPG. They are also getting 4.9 steals and 1.8 blocks per game while hitting 4.6 three pointers. The "other guys" on the Zombie Sonics are averaging 35.2 PPG, 5.6 APG, and 22.1 RPG. They are also getting 4.2 steals and 5.7 blocks per game while hitting 2.3 three pointers a game. As you can see the Zombies "other guys" are more explosive than the Heat. The Zombies feature Serge Ibaka who these playoffs is averaging 10.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG and 3.3 blocks per game.
For the Heat their main "other guy" is Mario Chalmers who is averaging 11.6 PPG, 3.9 RPG and 3.9 APG while making 1.4 three pointers a game. The Heat don't have a deep roster there is a reason why head coach Erik Spoelstra started three different guys at center in the Celtics series alone and basically only played the big three along with Udonis Haslem, Shane Battier and Chalmers. The Zombies though have the edge in talent and championship experience with Kendrick Perkins and Derek Fisher who have combined played in nine NBA Finals while winning six NBA championships.
The national media has it all wrong and that's a damn shame!

I understand the national media doesn't want to hate on Oklahoma City or be disrespectful towards them as this is their moment. Just don't pretend they are the good guys either while Miami is the villains because that is simply not the case. We have suffered a lot in recent years with the Seahawks not having a winning season since 2007, the Mariners lost 95+ games three of the last four seasons while finishing in last place six of the last eight seasons. For our college fans the Washington Huskies going 0-12 in the Tyrone Willingham era and for the Washington State Cougars fans going 9-40 the last four seasons in the Paul Wulff era. The Sonics with Kevin Durant was supposed to be our reward and we didn't even get that. Hopefully the Sonics return(they'll be here sooner than people think you watch) I hope we are awarded a talent like Durant as this city is so overdue. At least Cleveland got the experiene of Lebron James for seven years. We got to experience Durant for one season in a lameduck year that was full on rebuild mode. Seattle fans got robbed and the national media continues to piss down our back and tell us it's raining isn't helping either.
Prediction: Heat in six games
As if I was going to take Oklahoma City in this series. In reality I'm making this prediction for basketball related reasons and I'm even wagering money on the Heat to win. I can't believe a team that features Lebron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh is being underestiminated but they are. The Heat I feel are more battle tested than the Thunder after playing in the NBA Finals just last year plus are always under the media spotlight so this is nothing new to them. While the young Thunder are on center stage for the first time. Durant especially has received a free pass from the media his entire career if he starts to slump and James is going off that won't happen this series. Westbrook has already received some backlash last year but it won't be like it is now if he struggles in the Finals. I do think experience plays a role as well as the losing team from the previous year in the NBA finals who happens to reach the finals the next year has won the championship four out of seven times since 1980. Two of those champions the 1988 Detroit Pistons and 2009 Los Angeles Lakers would actually go on to win the next two titles. The teams that lost were the 1984 Lakers who would win the title following season, 1998 Utah Jazz who lost to the Michael Jordan dynasty back to back and the 2003 New Jersey Nets who came from the weakest east ever.
Now since 1980 when teams with Finals experience went up against teams without it(basically the core players) the team with experience has won 10 of the 14 matchups. The four cases where no experience prevailed was the 1980 Los Angeles Lakers who would go on to win five NBA titles, 1991 Chicago Bulls who would go on to win six NBA titles, 2004 Detroit Pistons who would reach NBA Finals following season and 2008 Boston Celtics who were all veteran future hall of famers. I think both these teams are going to be living in the NBA finals for the rest of this decade as Durant and James are in their prime years.
Besides experience and being battle tested the main reason I'm taking the Heat is I feel like Lebron James is playing the best ball of his career. I also think Lebron has matured and is just focused on winning a title. Last year he worried too much about his critics and was tweeting about his "haters". While this year he seems at peace with himself and that hate towards him isn't as strong as it once was. He is playing like Karl Malone if Malone was able to bring the ball up court and pass. James is playing at a super natural level and defensively he is guarding Rajon Rondo one possession while guarding Kevin Garnett the next. I think he is going to give Durant some problems in those crunch moments plus Wade brings his "A" game in the NBA Finals as Wade in 12 career games has averaged 30.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG and 4.5 APG. Last year in the Finals loss Wade averaged 26.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 5.2 APG as he was having another spectacular finals. In 2006 Wade won the Finals MVP averaging 34.7 PPG, 7.8 RPG and 3.8 APG. For the Heat to win Flash will need to go off once again.
This series is what every fan who doesn't live in Cleveland or Seattle can hope for. We have six stars including four guys who will be on the U.S. Olympic team and a fifth in Bosh depending on his health. All of these guys are in their primes and in the case of both teams best two players play the same position. Westbrook will be going up against Wade in the fourth quarter and more importantly Durant will be squaring off against Lebron in the fourth quarter. America better get used to this matchup as I think this will be the new Magic-Bird of the 1980's which saw one of those two play in nine of the 10 NBA finals in the 1980's winning eight championships. They went up against each other three times as well with Bird winning the first matchup while Magic won the last two. I'm looking forward to this Finals and I truly believe this is the Finals where Lebron silences his critics for good.
Thursday, September 1, 2011
2011 Pac-12 preview and predictions
By Kshell
This year the Pacific coast conference has added two teams making them the Pac-12 conference. For the first time in the Pac's history you'll see divisional play and a Pac-12 championship game. The team with the best conference record will host that championship game. Not only will teams try to win their division but they'll also try to win the top spot in the conference to host the title game. This year the Pac-12 features two teams who ranked in the top 10 who happen to be in the same division. Last year both the Oregon Ducks and Stanford Cardinal played in BCS games. This year both the Ducks and Cardinal are hoping to return to a BCS game with a possible trip to the National championship.
The Pac-12 championship game should be interesting as Oregon won't be able to play Stanford. What also throws a wrench into this is that the USC Trojans who are picked to win the Pac-12 south aren't eligible to play for the title. So there is a good chance that the fourth best team in the conference will play for the right to play in the Rose Bowl. The last team from the Pacific Coast conference to win the Rose Bowl was the 2008 USC Trojans. The conference has two heavy weights in the Oregon Ducks who have won the conference the last two years and the Stanford Cardinal who feature the best NFL prospect in Andrew Luck. This conference also welcomes in the Utah Utes who have done very well in the past and the Colorado Buffaloes who have won a national championship just 20 years ago.
In this following post I'll break down each team while dividing them up into divisions. I'll also offer up my predictions as will several other people who I've interacted with through my blog. The Pac-12 is pretty balanced but now with the teams going to 12 schedules play a big part in how a team will do in conference play. For an example the Utah Utes get a huge gift as they avoid the Oregon Ducks and Stanford Cardinal who are both ranked in the top 10. While due to already scheduled to play each other in non conference the Colorado Buffaloes and California Golden Bears will play 10 Pac-12 games this year. So I'll break down the teams starting with the South in alphabetical order.
South:
Arizona Wildcats(7-6,4-5)
The Arizona Wildcats under Mike Stoops appear to be a program stuck in the middle. Two years ago the Wildcats were knocking on the door of their first ever Rose Bowl trip but lost to the Oregon Ducks in double overtime at home. Then last year the Wildcats started off red hot going 7-1 before losing their final five games of the year including one to rival Arizona State at home. Now things don't get any easier for the Wildcats who begin their season playing their second game five days after their opening at 9th ranked Oklahoma State, then host seventh ranked Stanford, then hosts third ranked Oregon, then travels to #25 USC Trojans. When that stretch is over very likely chance the Wildcats will be 1-4 and dating back to last year that would make them losers of 9 out of 10 games.
What is working in the Wildcats favor is they have senior quarterback Nick Foles. As a sophomore Foles completed 63.4% of his passes for 2,485 yards with 19 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Then as a junior he didn't take that big of a jump as he completed 67.1% of his passes for 3,191 yards with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. The Wildcats also have running back Keola Antolin. As a freshman he ran for 525 yards(4.5 YPC) and 10 touchdowns with seven receptions. Then as a sophomore he ran for 638 yards(5.6 YPC) with four touchdowns and 17 receptions. Then last year he ran for 641 yards with seven touchdowns and 28 receptions including two for touchdowns. Last year for a team who threw quite a bit they also ran for 20 touchdowns. The Wildcats have an explosive offense although the defense has to worry many fans. The schedule out of the gate could destroy the Wildcats season.
Arizona State Sun Devils (6-6,4-5)
The Arizona State Sun Devils are the trendy pick to appear in the Pac-12 championship game this year. Dennis Erickson has had a bumpy ride since in his first year in 2007. The Sun Devils last season started the year off slow going 4-6 and 2-5 in conference play before winning their final two games. The Sun Devils won all five games that quarterback Brock Osweiler appeared in and won both of the starts that he made. The face of the Sun Devils program right now is outstanding middle linebacker Vontaze Burfict. Burfict can be a knucklehead at times but he is talented as he won Pac-10 freshman defensive player of the year award in 2009. Then as a sophomore he was named second team all pac-10 linebacker and sporting news named him the Pac-10 defensive MVP. Due to Burfict many think the Sun Devils will have a powerful defense that if not for six turnovers last year would have upset the Oregon Ducks last season.
Another reason fans are excited down in Tempe is quarterback Brock Osweiler. He took over for the injured but ineffective Steven Threet and performed quite well. He threw completed 56.9% of his passes for 797 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions. In his last two starts of the season he threw for 647 yards with 68 yards rushing. He threw for five touchdowns and ran for a touchdown while not turning the ball over once. The Sun Devils also return Cameron Marshall who last year rushed for 761 yards(5.1 YPC) with nine touchdowns. Even though Erickson is on the hot seat it appears he has a pretty talented squad this year with Burfict leading the team.
Colorado Buffaloes (5-7,2-6)
The Colorado Buffaloes will be entering the new Pac-12 with pretty low expectations. Most experts think they'll take last place in the South and battle the Washington State Cougars for being the worst team in the conference. The Buffaloes last year after upsetting the SEC's Georgia Bulldogs dropped five straight games in the big 12 conference. Now the Buffaloes will have to play in the Pac-12 conference which will be just as tough as the Big 12 was. The Buffaloes were once a proud program much like the Washington Huskies who have fallen on hard times. Like the Huskies the falling apart started under Rich Neuheisel as well.
The one guy who can give other teams matchup problems for the Buffaloes is running back Rodney Stewart. Far as college goes he is the second or third best running back in the conference depending who you are reading. Stewart as a freshman ran for 622 yards(4.7 YPC) with two touchdowns and seven receptions. Then as a sophomore ran for 804 yards(4.1 YPC) with nine touchdowns and 12 receptions. Then as a junior he continued to improve rushing for 1,272 yards(4.4 YPC) with 10 touchdowns and 29 receptions. The Buffaloes also return starting quarterback Tyler Hansen who has a rough career throwing 15 touchdowns to 17 interceptions in three seasons while completing 59.3% of his passes. Last year he did complete 68.3% for 1,102 yards but had just six touchdowns and six interceptions. The Buffaloes are headed for a long year in the Pac-12 this season.
Utah Utes (10-3,7-1)
The Utah Utes enter the conference as a very successful team over the past years. The Utes went 10-3 last season, 10-3 in 2009 and 13-0 in 2008. The Utes have been one of the most successful program in all of college football and they proved in 2008 by destroying Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Utes finished that year ranked second in the nation and have won two BCS bowl games since 2004. The Utes last year were enjoying a great season as well starting the year off 8-0 and ranked fifth in the nation. They had a showdown at home against TCU where they lost badly then the following week lost badly to Notre Dame. They finished their season losing to another little giant in Boise State. Now the Utes will be coming to the Pac-12 as they caught a break in avoiding the #3 Oregon Ducks and #7 Stanford Cardinal.
The Utes return quarterback Jordan Wynn who completed 62.2% of his passes last season for 2,334 yards with 17 touchdowns to 10 interceptions. His main target will be Devonte Christopher who had 39 receptions last season for 660 yards with six touchdowns in 11 games. Utah to improve on their offense hired two-time national championship offensive coordinator and former NFL offensive coordinator Norm Chow. Now are they getting the Chow from USC or the Chow who failed with the Tennessee Titans and then UCLA Bruins? The defense has questions on their defensive line but due to the coaching staff they should be fine. The Utes caught a break with the schedule and look for them to make some noise in the Pac-12.
UCLA Bruins (4-8,2-6)
The UCLA Bruins enter year four of the Rick Neuheisel experience which hasn't produce as well as they'd like. Neuheisel finds himself on the hot seat as he is only 15-22 in his three years at UCLA. The program appears to be on the decline and has fallen into mediocrity or worse. The conferences only Rose Bowl winning coach has yet to produce a good offense which was what made him a good coach at Colorado and Washington. The Bruins best player is probably safety Tony Dye who many project to be second team all Pac-12. The Bruins don't return much on offense either.
Last season the Bruins had trouble on offense but the only strength was the running game. The Bruins return Jonathan Franklin who last season ran for 1,061 yards(5.0 YPC) with 8 touchdowns. The Bruins also return backup running back Derrick Coleman who ran for 476 yards(5.8 YPC) with five rushing touchdowns. Neuheisel did bring in highly touted Brett Hundley at quarterback but he is probably a year away. For now the Bruins will go with Kevin Prince. Last season Prince completed 44.7% of his passes for 384 yards with three touchdowns and five interceptions. As a freshman Prince had completed 56.2% of his passes for 2,050 yards with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. The Bruins are hoping to surprise some people this year but with no passing attack that will be tough in the conference. This could be the final season for Neuheisel at UCLA.
USC Trojans (8-5,5-4)
The USC Trojans are entering their second and final season of the bowl ban. The Trojans who won the Pac-10 title from 2002-2008 which included two National Championships, two Orange Bowl wins and four Rose Bowl championships. The Trojans have fallen back a little bit the last two years going 9-4 and then last year going 8-5. The Trojans lost to their rivals Notre Dame Fighting Irish for the first time since 2001. The Trojans last season lost three games by less than four points. This year many think the Trojans will win the Pac-12 South but won't be able to play in the championship game. The Trojans under second year head coach Lane Kiffin still have plenty of NFL talent.
The best NFL talent the Trojans have is third year quarterback Matt Barkley. Barkley as a true freshman who was a five star recruit out of high school ranked #1 quarterback in the nation struggled some as he completed 59.9% of his passes for 2,735 yards with 15 touchdowns to 14 interceptions. Then as a true sophomore when most quarterbacks are redshirt fresman Barkley had a big season. Barkley completed 62.6% of his passes for 2,791 yards with 26 touchdowns to 12 interceptions. In a 48-14 win over California Golden Bears was a breakout game for Barkley. Barkley was 25 of 37(67.6%) passing for 352 yards with five touchdowns to zero interceptions. That was a week after almost upsetting Stanford Cardinal where Barkley threw for 390 yards with three touchdowns to zero interceptions. Barkley will be playing on Sunday's in the NFL and is a franchise quarterback in the NFL.
Barkley has plenty of weapons to throw to and hand the ball off to as well. His main receiver is true sophomore Robert Woods who caught 65 passes for 790 yards with six touchdowns. When Barkley isn't throwing the ball he is handing the rock off to Marc Tyler. Last year Tyler ran for 896 yards(5.2 YPC) with nine touchdowns. The Trojans have plenty of talent despite the sanctions as they live in a recruiting hot bed. Look for the Trojans under Kiffin in year two to improve from the past two seasons. The Trojans have the most talent in the Pac-12 South and now just a matter of will they take advantage of it. Anytime you can have a future NFL quarterback on your team that is always a great plus.
North:
California Golden Bears (5-7,3-6)
The California Golden Bears are coming off a rare losing season in the Jeff Tedford era. The talent at California doesn't appear to be where it once was. The days of Aaron Rodgers, Kyle Boller, Marshawn Lynch, Justin Forsett and Jahvid Best appear over for the Golden Bears. Last year the Golden Bears were 5-4 with three home games left in the season. They lost to #1 Oregon 15-13 as they missed a short field goal, then were rolled to rival Stanford 48-14. With their bowl game on the line and leading 13-10 against the Washington Huskies their defense faced a fourth and goal from the one yard line. The Huskies scored the touchdown meaning the Golden Bears were going to have a losing season. Now the Bears lost quarterback Kevin Riley and running back Shane Vereen so the Bears could suffer a bad season this year.
The Bears do feature outside linebacker Mychal Kendricks who figures to be an all Pac-12 player this season. The Bears do return senior wide receiver Marvin Jones who as a sophomore caught 43 passes for 651 yards with six touchdowns. Then last year as a junior he caught 50 passes for 765 yards with four touchdowns. The starting quarterback for the Bears will be transfer Zach Maynard who started two games in 2009 for the university of Buffalo. Tedford will try to avoid having back to back losing seasons for the first time in his career at California with an inexperienced backfield.
Stanford Cardinal (12-1, 8-1)
The Stanford Cardinal enter the year ranked 7th in the AP and coaches poll. The Cardinal are the only Pac-12 team who won a BCS bowl game as they destroyed Virginia Tech last year in the Orange Bowl 40-12. The Cardinal did lose head coach Jim Harbaugh to the NFL which will hurt but Andrew Luck despite being guaranteed the #1 pick overall in the NFL draft decided to come back. The Stanford Cardinal will contend with the Oregon Ducks for the Pac-12 title and compete for a shot at the National Championship game. The Cardinal have had the last two runners up in the Heisman Trophy race and return plenty of talent from last years Orange Bowl championship team.
The most talented player is future #1 pick overall Andrew Luck. Luck a five star quarterback recruit out of Texas started as a redshirt freshman. During his freshman year he completed 56.2% of his passes for 2,575 yards with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. He also ran for 354 yards with two rushing touchdowns. Then as a redshirt sophomore with Toby Gerhert gone the offense became Luck's as he completed 70.7% of his passes for 3,338 yards with 32 touchdowns to just eight interceptions. He also ran for 393 yards with three touchdowns. In Luck's career he has been sacked just 12 times in 25 games which shows how mobile he is and how well his offensive line is. In the Orange Bowl Luck was 18 of 23(78.3%) passing for 287 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. With Luck the Cardinal have the best player in college football and the biggest can't miss NFL prospect since Peyton Manning.
The running back that Luck will be handing the ball off to is Stepfan Taylor who rushed for 1,099 yards with nine touchdowns while catching 28 passes for 266 yards with a touchdown. The man blocking for those two is David DeCastro who is from Bellevue High School but Tyrone Willingham refused to recruit him. The Huskies loss has been the Cardinals gain as DeCastro is an all-american candidate. New head coach David Shaw who has never been a head coach couldn't have asked for a better situation to step into. The Cardinal host #3 Oregon Ducks on November 12th which will have Rose Bowl implications and possibly National Championship implications as both teams should be undefeated heading into that game. The Stanford Cardinal look to make some noise for the second straight season.
Oregon Ducks (12-1, 9-0)
The Oregon Ducks are coming off their most successful season in school history. The Ducks last year went undefeated in the regular season only to lose in the National Championship game to the Auburn Tigers 22-19 on a last second field goal. The Ducks under third year head coach Chip Kelly(22-4,17-1) have won the Pac-10 the last two seasons are looking to win the first ever Pac-12 championship. Kelly has found himself in some hot water this offseason with the Willie Lyles scandal which will eventually burn this program but it won't burn this season. The Ducks return plenty of fire power on offense. A scary thought to the rest of the league is that last year Darron Thomas was an inexperienced quarterback now he has national championship game experience. In any other conference or team Thomas would be bragged about. The Ducks have so many weapons on offense they put up scores that you would see only on Xbox.
The Ducks return running back LaMichael James who has destroyed the Pac-10 since Willie Lyles handed him to the Oregon program. As a freshman in 2009, James rushed for 1,546(6.7 YPC) with 14 touchdowns earning him first team all pac-10 and freshman of the year. Last year James jumped to Heisman finalist where he invited his friend Lyles as he ran for 1,622 yards(5.5 YPC) with 21 touchdowns and also caught three touchdowns. In the biggest regular season games of the year James steps his game up. Last year in the showdown against Stanford the Ducks found themselves trailing at home 21-3 but eventually won 52-31 where James ran for 257 yards(8.3 YPC) with three touchdowns. Then in a back and forth game at USC James ran for 229 yards(6.4 YPC) with three touchdowns. James in his last two bowl games has been stuffed rushing for 70 yards(4.7 YPC) in the Rose Bowl loss to Ohio State and only 44 yards(3.4 YPC) in the loss to Auburn. He has never scored a touchdown in a bowl game in his career. The Ducks also feature Kenjon Barner who last year ran for 526 yards(5.8 YPC) with six rushing touchdowns and two receiving. The Ducks have a talented backfield that no Pac-10 team has yet to solve.
The biggest question mark last season was Darron Thomas who played incredible last year. Last season Thomas completed 61.5% of his passes for 2,881 yards with 30 touchdowns to just nine interceptions. He also ran for 402 yards with five rushing touchdowns. In the loss to Auburn Thomas threw for a career high 363 yards while completing 67.5% of his passes. Thomas now has game experience and has won in tough environments like Knoxville, Tennessee and USC. He played in a national title and played pretty well in the title game despite Nick Fairly being in his face all game. The Ducks face a big game at Stanford on November 12th and also close out Husky Stadium on November 5th. That two game stretch along with their opener in Cowboys stadium in the Willie Lyles bowl against 4th ranked LSU Tigers will determine if the Ducks are playing in the national title game again. The Ducks are easily the best team in the Pac-12 and could actually be a better team than last year like last years team was better than 2009.
Oregon State Beavers (5-7,4-5)
The Oregon State Beavers after losing to their rival the Oregon Ducks for the right to go to the Rose Bowl in 2008 and 2009 fell on hard times in 2010 going 5-7. The Beavers will also be having to replace running back Jacquizz Rodgers who rushed for 1,110 yards(4.3 YPC) with 14 touchdowns. He also caught 44 passes, three of which went for touchdowns. Mike Riley had the program going in the right direction but with schools like Stanford and Washington going from doormats to successful programs again the Beavers are suffering as a result. The Beavers disappointing last season was in large part due to James Rodgers being injured. Last year Rodgers had 16 receptions for 215 with two touchdowns. He played in only four games which was a huge loss for a team that doesn't have many playmakers.
This year James Rodgers will start the year off injured but when he returns the Beavers are getting one of the better playmakers in the conference. As a freshman Rodgers had 51 receptions for 607 yards receiving with four touchdowns. Then as a sophomore in 2009 Rodgers caught 91 passes for 1,034 yards with nine touchdowns. Rodgers also returns kicks as he has 2,263 yards in return yardage with two touchdowns. He has also rushed for 748 yards with six touchdowns in his career. The Beavers are a totally different offense with Rodgers back. The Beavers return quarterback Ryan Katz who last season completed 60.0% of his passes for 2,401 yards with 18 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. The Beavers will be relying on Katz quite a bit to carry the offense. Don't sleep on the Beavers as whenever people tend to overlook them Riley pulls off an 8-4 season with a Sun Bowl win.
Washington Huskies (7-6, 5-4)
The Washington Huskies are coming off their first bowl win in over a decade. Under third year head coach Steve Sarkisian he has turned the program around from 0-12 to Holiday Bowl champs in just two seasons. Now the Huskies must replace 8th pick overall in the NFL Draft quarterback Jake Locker and replace Mason Foster who is going to start at linebacker for the 10-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. There is plenty of excitement around Montlake for this upcoming Huskies season which Sarkisian calls his deepest team he has ever had at Washington. If you want to read more in depth on the Huskies I broke the team down position by position in my season preview which you can read by clicking the link http://seattlesportsblog-kshell.blogspot.com/2011/08/washington-huskies-2011-season-preview.html .
The Huskies will feature running back Chris Polk who as a redshirt freshman, ran for 1,113 yards (4.9 YPC) and five touchdowns, with 25 receptions for 171 yards. Last year Polk was even better: rushing for 1,365 yards (5.2 YPC) and nine touchdowns, with 22 receptions for 180 yards. Polk, like he did in 2009, saved his best for the end of the season. During the Huskies four-game winning streak, Polk rushed for 673 yards (6.2 YPC) with five touchdowns. He scored the winning touchdown against California, and then in the Apple Cup, he rushed for the second highest total in school history; he ran for 282 yards (9.7 YPC) and two touchdowns. In the Holiday Bowl, Polk was MVP against Nebraska, running for 176 yards on 34 carries (5.2 YPC) with a touchdown. Along with Jermaine Kearse who had 63 receptions for 1,005 yards(16.0 YPC) with 12 touchdowns the Huskies should have plenty of weapons on offense. Sarkisian has the program headed in the right direction and look for them to try and compete for Pac-12 titles pretty soon.
Washington State Cougars (2-10,1-8)
The Washington State Cougars have completed one of the worst stretches in Pac-10 history going 5-32 over the past three seasons. The Cougars are 3-32 against Division-1 opponents and 2-25 in Pac-10 play over the three seasons. Paul Wulff in his three years hasn't experienced much success if any as he inherited a disaster from Bill Doba who apparently forgot to recruit division-1 athletes let alone Pac-10 players. In 2008 the Cougars went 2-11 losing 10 games by more than 20 points, seven by 30 or more points, five by 40 plus points and four by 50 plus points. Then in 2009 the Cougars went 1-11 losing nine games by 20 plus points, six by 30 plus points and two games by 40 plus points. Then in year three under Wulff the Cougars went 2-10 but were at least competitive losing four games by 20 plus points, three by 30 plus and two by 40 plus. The Cougars closed out the season with a road win at Oregon State 31-14 then rallied from two separate 14 point deficits to the Washington Huskies only to lose 35-28.
Those close games have made fans optimistic about this year for the Cougars. You can read Insider Steve's take on the Cougars by clicking this link http://seattlesportsblog-kshell.blogspot.com/2011/08/can-2011-wsu-cougars-be-something.html . Another Cougar fan who is excited is Tory Johnson who also wrote about the Cougars where he predicts a bowl game which you can read by clicking the link http://seattlesportsblog-kshell.blogspot.com/2011/08/season-of-intrigue.html . The Cougars are optimisitc that in year four under Wulff that the days of losing are finally over. The Cougars haven't had a winning season since 2003 which is currently the longest streak in the Pac-12. The Cougars for the first time in a while actually have players that other teams in the conference fear.
The face of the Cougars program is junior quarterback Jeff Tuel who is entering his third year as the starting quarterback for the Cougars. As a true freshman Tuel completed 58.7% of his passes for 789 yards with six touchdowns to five interceptions. Then last year Tuel completed 59.8% of his passes for 2,780 yards with 18 touchdowns to 12 interceptions. Last year in the Apple Cup Tuel played terrific completing 71.4% of his passes for 298 yards with three touchdowns to one interception. Tuel just needs to work on his record as he is 2-16 as a starting quarterback. Tuel's main receiver is Marquess Wilson who is projected to be second team all pac-12 this season. Wilson last season caught 55 passes for 1,006 yards with six touchdowns. The Cougars are hoping that the passing attack is enough to land them a bowl game which would save Paul Wulff's job.
Now it's time to reveal the predictions that my staff, readers of my blog, former players and myself have made. Before I do that though I'll show the official Pac-12 media predictions.
Pac-12 media predictions:
South
1. USC (24 first-place votes), 230 points*
2. ASU (13), 207
3. Utah (4), 170
4. Arizona (1), 140
5. UCLA, 89
6. Colorado, 46
North
1. Oregon (29 first-place votes), 239 points
2. Stanford (13), 220
3. Washington, 142
4. Oregon State, 120
5. California, 110
6. Washington State, 51
Pac-12 Champion:
1. Oregon- 28 votes
2. Stanford- 11 votes
3. Arizona State- 3 votes
Here is an interesting stat on the Pac-12 media polls predictions. On the left is who the media had predicted and what they had finished.On the right is what the Pac-12 champion was predicted to finish.
1961 UCLA 1st UCLA 1st
1962 Washington 2nd USC 2nd
1963 USC 2nd Washington 2nd
1964 Washington 3rd Oregon State 6th
1965 USC 2nd UCLA 7th
1966 USC 1st USC 1st
1967 USC 1st USC 1st
1968 USC 1st USC 1st
1969 USC 1st USC 1st
1970 USC 6th Stanford 2nd
1971 USC 2nd Stanford 2nd
1972 USC 1st USC 1st
1973 USC 1st USC 1st
1974 USC 1st USC 1st
1975 USC 5th UCLA 3rd
1976 USC 1st USC 1st
1977 USC 2nd Washington 3rd
1978 USC 1st USC 1st
1979 USC 1st USC 1st
1980 USC 3rd Washington 3rd
1981 USC 2nd Washington 4th
1982 USC 3rd UCLA 3rd
1983 Arizona 5th UCLA 5th
1984 UCLA 3rd USC 3rd
1985 USC 4th UCLA 5th
1986 UCLA 2nd Arizona State 4th
1987 UCLA 2nd USC 4th
1988 UCLA 2nd USC 2nd
1989 USC 1st USC 1st
1990 Washington 1st Washington 1st
1991 Washington 1st Washington 1st
1992 Washington 1st Washington 1st
1993 Washington 4th UCLA 6th
1994 Arizona 2nd Oregon 8th
1995 USC 1st USC 1st
1996 USC 5th Arizona State 2nd
1997 Washington 4th Washington State 7th
1998 UCLA 1st UCLA 1st
1999 Arizona 6th Stanford 8th
2000 Washington 1st Washington 1st
2001 Oregon 1st Oregon 1st
2002 Washington State 1st Washington State 1st
2003 USC 1st USC 1st
2004 USC 1st USC 1st
2005 USC 1st USC 1st
2006 USC 1st USC 1st
2007 USC 1st USC 1st
2008 USC 1st USC 1st
2009 USC 5th Oregon 3rd
2010 Oregon 1st Oregon 1st
Now onto the predictions...
Terry Hollimon: Washington Huskies Running Back 1994-96, Northern Iowa Running Back 1997
1. Stanford
2. Washington
3. Oregon
4. Cal
5. OSU
6. Wazzu
South
1. USC
2. Arizona
3. Utah
4. ASU
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Championship Game: Stanford Over Arizona
If Stanford stays healthy, they will win the PAC-12 and contend for a national championship.
Chris Swanson: Freelance Reporter/Analyst, has worked for Northwest Cable News amongst other news outlets.
North:
1. Stanford
2. Oregon-Stanford beats Oregon in Palo Alto, then the Ducks get stunned the next week at home to USC
3. Cal
4. Washington-EWU 17, UW 37. It's 20-17 and close in the 2nd qtr until UW pulls away in the 2nd half.
5. Oregon State
6. Washington State-ISU 13, WSU 22. A couple of half ass drives turn into field goals and wazzu gets a dog shit safety in the 2nd half for a weird looking score.
South:
1. USC
2. Arizona
3. Utah
4. ASU
5. UCLA
6. Colorado-they'll go oh-fer the conf. in their first Pac-12 season
Championship: Stanford hosts and wins the conf. title game over Arizona thanks to USC's postseason ban. Oregon will laugh now, but they'll have that same ban staring in 2013.
8 Pac-12 teams go to Bowls in this order.. Stanford, Oregon, Cal, UW, Arizona, OSU, Utah, and ASU. Only reason I put Cal ahead of UW is because I think the Golden Rods pull a stunner in Seattle the week after Nebraska.
Dan Wulff: Regular commenter on Seattle Sportsblog and Die Hard Cougs
South
1. USC
2. Utah
3. Arizona
4. ASU
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
North
1. Oregon
2. Stanford
3. WSU
4. UW
5. Cal
6. Oregon State
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah
The winner of Apple Cup will finish 3rd and I feel on this day that both teams will be bowl bound!
Chris Rozwood: Commenter on Seattle Sportsblog, avid Basketball fan
North:
1. Stanford
2. Oregon
3. Washington
4. Cal
5. Oregon State
6. WSU
South
1. Arizona
2. ASU
3. USC
4. Utah
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Championship Game: Stanford over Arizona
That's based on the official predictions but weighted with how much I like/dislike the school and previous knowledge of how good/bad the school is at football. It's important to note that I'm an asshole, and if this were basketball I'd be mad at me because it's always the clueless guy who winds up being right.
Marc Hewitt: High School football and basketball ref. Baseball ump. Former football and basketball coach. Avid Ducks Fan.
1. Stanford
2. Oregon
3. Washington
4. Cal
5. Oregon State
6. WSU
South
1. Arizona
2. ASU
3. USC
4. Utah
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Championship Game: Stanford over Arizona
That's based on the official predictions but weighted with how much I like/dislike the school and previous knowledge of how good/bad the school is at football. It's important to note that I'm an asshole, and if this were basketball I'd be mad at me because it's always the clueless guy who winds up being right.
Marc Hewitt: High School football and basketball ref. Baseball ump. Former football and basketball coach. Avid Ducks Fan.
North-
1. Oregon
2. Stanford
3. Washington
4. Oregon State
5. CAL
6. Washington State
South:
1. Arizona
2. USC
3. Utah
4. Arizona State
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Pac-12 Championship will be at Oregon. Oregon beats Arizona twice this year.
1. Oregon
2. Stanford
3. Washington
4. Oregon State
5. CAL
6. Washington State
South:
1. Arizona
2. USC
3. Utah
4. Arizona State
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Pac-12 Championship will be at Oregon. Oregon beats Arizona twice this year.
Mike Morris: Former Central Washington University baseball pitcher
North
Oregon
Stanford
Washington
Cal
Oregon St
WSU
South
USC
ASU
UA
UTAH
UCLA
COL
Oregon
Stanford
Washington
Cal
Oregon St
WSU
South
USC
ASU
UA
UTAH
UCLA
COL
Championship: Oregon over ASU
Ian Korzeniecki: Writer of Seattle Sportsblog. Football player for O'Dea High School
North:
1)Oregon
2)Stanford
3)Washington
4)Oregon State
5)Washington State
6) Cal
South:
1)USC
2) Arizona State
3)Utah
4) Arizona
5)UCLA
6)Colorado
Championship: Oregon over Arizona State
Adam Dinehart: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog
1)Oregon
2)Stanford
3)Washington
4)Oregon State
5)Washington State
6) Cal
South:
1)USC
2) Arizona State
3)Utah
4) Arizona
5)UCLA
6)Colorado
Championship: Oregon over Arizona State
Adam Dinehart: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog
North:
1) Stanford
2) Oregon
3) Oregon State
4) Washington
5) California
6) Washington State
South:
1) USC
2) Arizona
3) Arizona State
4) Utah
5) UCLA
6) Colorado
1) Stanford
2) Oregon
3) Oregon State
4) Washington
5) California
6) Washington State
South:
1) USC
2) Arizona
3) Arizona State
4) Utah
5) UCLA
6) Colorado
Championship Game: Stanford over Arizona
5-7 bowl teams...Stanford, Oregon, Arizona, ASU, Utah are the ones i think will make it with OSU and UW also having a shot.
Tory Johnson: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog and creator of Die Hard Cougs
North
1) Oregon
2) Stanford
3) Washington
4) Washington State
5) Oregon State
6) Cal
South
1) Utah
2) Arizona
3) Arizona State
4) USC
5) UCLA
6) Colorado
Oregon over Utah
1) Oregon
2) Stanford
3) Washington
4) Washington State
5) Oregon State
6) Cal
South
1) Utah
2) Arizona
3) Arizona State
4) USC
5) UCLA
6) Colorado
Oregon over Utah
Insider Steve: Creator of Inside Seattle Sports. Writes for Seattle Sports Blog and Seattle Sports Hub
North
1. Oregon
2. Washington
3. Stanford
4. Washington St
5. Cal
6. Oregon St
South
1. USC
2. Utah
3.Arizona
4.Arizona St
5. Colorado
6. UCLA
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah.
Oregon receives the BCS nod, Washington, Stanford, Utah, Arizona, and Arizona St or Washington St will recive the last bowl bid depending on their records.
Patton Richard: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog. Draft Geru for MLB and NFL.
1. Oregon
2. Washington
3. Stanford
4. Washington St
5. Cal
6. Oregon St
South
1. USC
2. Utah
3.Arizona
4.Arizona St
5. Colorado
6. UCLA
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah.
Oregon receives the BCS nod, Washington, Stanford, Utah, Arizona, and Arizona St or Washington St will recive the last bowl bid depending on their records.
Patton Richard: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog. Draft Geru for MLB and NFL.
North:
1) Oregon
2) Stanford
3) Washington
4) California
5) Oregon State
6) Washington State
South:
1) USC
2) Utah
3) Arizona State
4) Arizona
5) UCLA
6) Colorado
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah
Brian Alfi: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog. Two-Time Regional Wrestling assistant coach of the year(Edmonds Woodway High School).
1) Oregon
2) Stanford
3) Washington
4) California
5) Oregon State
6) Washington State
South:
1) USC
2) Utah
3) Arizona State
4) Arizona
5) UCLA
6) Colorado
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah
Brian Alfi: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog. Two-Time Regional Wrestling assistant coach of the year(Edmonds Woodway High School).
North:
1- Oregon
2- Stanford
3- Washington
4- Cal
5- Oregon State
6- WSU
South
1- Utah
2- USC
3- ASU
4- Arizona
5- Colorado
6- UCLA
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah
Korey Payne: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog
North
1. Stanford
2. Oregon
3. Washington
4. Oregon State
5. California
6. Washington State
South
1. USC
2. Utah
3. Arizona
4. Arizona State
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Championship Game: Stanford over Utah
Bryan White: commenter on Seattle Sportsblog group. Avid Ichiro Hater
North
1- Oregon
2- Stanford
3- Washington
4- Cal
5- Oregon State
6- WSU
South
1- Utah
2- USC
3- ASU
4- Arizona
5- Colorado
6- UCLA
Championship Game: Oregon over Utah
Korey Payne: Writer for Seattle Sportsblog
North
1. Stanford
2. Oregon
3. Washington
4. Oregon State
5. California
6. Washington State
South
1. USC
2. Utah
3. Arizona
4. Arizona State
5. UCLA
6. Colorado
Championship Game: Stanford over Utah
Bryan White: commenter on Seattle Sportsblog group. Avid Ichiro Hater
North
Stanford
Oregon
Washington
Oregon state
cal
wsu
South
*usc
Utah
Asu
Colorado
Arizona
ucla
Stanford over Utah
Stanford national champs
Oregon
Washington
Oregon state
cal
wsu
South
*usc
Utah
Asu
Colorado
Arizona
ucla
Stanford over Utah
Stanford national champs
Zach Cecil: Played football at Shasta College from 2004-06
North:
Oregon - The top offense in the nation last year and two-time defending champs plus the return the QB and RB that were the biggest reasons they were so potent.
Stanford - Question marks at WR and the right side of the OL and a new HC make it tough to think they could dethrone Oregon.
Washington - I can't in good faith put a team higher than this that has question marks at QB and now possibly RB if Polk doesn't trust his surgically repaired knee.
Washington State - BOOM! Mind blown?! A strong finish last year translates into this year and a bowl bid thanks to a lot of returning experience who are ready to win.
Cal - Losing Riley and Vereen from an average offense spells doom for Coach Tedford. Also, this team lost 5 defensive starters from a top 25 yards allowed per game unit and to make things worse their hardest opponents are away (UW, Oregon, Stanford, ASU).
Oregon State - Katz to Rodgers could save this team from the cellar but the loss of Quizz from the 97th ranked rushing team means it won't be enough. Plus returning only 4 starters on defense that allowed over 400 yards is really bad.
South
Arizona State - Brock Osweiler's last two games in 2010 looked like this: 647 yards, 5 TDs 0 INTs and Cameron Marshall went over 100 yards combined in the Sun Devils last 4 games. Oh, by the way, this team scored 32 points per game. Oh, by the way they are returning 19 starters. Also, they miss Stanford which helps immensely.
Utah - If they start off strong, they'll finish strong with 5 of their final 6 games against teams they should beat.
USC - Matt Barkley looks to have a strong year to parlay it into a high draft pick and they have two kids who will be household names after this season in Robert Woods and Marc Tyler. Inconsistency and the inability to stop the ball was their undoing last year and will be again this year.
Arizona - The saying goes "If you're going through hell, keep going." That will replace the "Bear Down" mantra for these Wildcats from Sept. 8th to October 1st when they play at Oklahoma State, home vs. Stanford, home vs. Oregon then ending at USC. I don't think they can prevent their year from spiraling out of control after they start 1-4 even with underrated Nick Foles.
UCLA - With no passing game and a 91st ranked defense coupled with my hatred for Rick Neuheisel I refuse to rank them higher.
Colorado - A team in transition and without any real playmakers and in a very tough division means this team is heading straight to the basement.
Championship Game: Oregon over Arizona State
Michael Clouse: Commenter on Seattle Sportsblog
North
1. Oregon - Ducks go out on top before Kelly bolts among potential sanctions in Eugene.
2. Stanford - Losing Harbaugh will hurt, but Luck and a solid stable of returning starters will keep Stanford in contention for the North title.
3. Washington - This is the year where Sark and Co turn the corner, despite losing Locker. A very good running game led by Polk and weapons on the outside will help an inexperience Price.
4. Washington State - Tuel and Marquess Wilson lead an offense with high scoring capabilty. Is it enough to cover up a poor defense and lead WSU to their first bowl game since 2003? They'll have to prove it before I buy into it.
5. Oregon State - They've been hit by the injury bug all Spring and lost their number one playmaker to the NFL, but Riley has bounced back after subpar years his entire career. Katz and James Rodgers will try and bring the offense back to respectability.
6. Cal - Tedford is finally on the hotseat and coming into 2012 with an inexperienced QB with no true weapons to play with will be the end of Tedford's tenure in Berkely.
South
1. USC - Despite being bowl ineligable for another year, this Trogans team is way too talented to not win the weak South. Expect big things from Barkley and Co on offense to get USC back on the national map...in a positive way.
2. Arizona State - I've been burned by picking them to take the next step before but with Erickson on the hotseat and one of the best defenses in the conference, the Sun Devils will compete for the South title.
3. Utah - They return a solid offense but how will it fare against much tougher defenses than in the Moutain West. A subpar secondary could be their achilles heel in the pass happy Pac-12.
4. Arizona - Stoops should be on the hot seat in my opinion after multiple disappointing finishes after fast starts. Foles and a solid receiving core should keep them in most games, but the new offensive scheme could be troublesome during a tough 4 game stretch of Oklahoma St, Stanford, Oregon and USC early on.
5. UCLA - After making a big splash signing Neuheisel in 2008, the Bruins have failed to get back near the top of the conference as expected. The troubles will continue this year and end the Slick Rick era in in Westwood.
6. Colorado - The team lacks talent on both sides of the ball. Add that to a brutal schedule, I'd be shocked if the Buffaloes finished anything but last in the conference.
Pac 12 Title Game: Oregon over Arizona State
Pac 12 Player of the Year - LaMichael James
Pac 12 Coach of the Year - Chip Kelly
Kris Shellenbarger: Creator of Seattle Sportsblog, Moderator of Seattle Sportsblog group, writer of Seattle Sportshub
Oregon - The top offense in the nation last year and two-time defending champs plus the return the QB and RB that were the biggest reasons they were so potent.
Stanford - Question marks at WR and the right side of the OL and a new HC make it tough to think they could dethrone Oregon.
Washington - I can't in good faith put a team higher than this that has question marks at QB and now possibly RB if Polk doesn't trust his surgically repaired knee.
Washington State - BOOM! Mind blown?! A strong finish last year translates into this year and a bowl bid thanks to a lot of returning experience who are ready to win.
Cal - Losing Riley and Vereen from an average offense spells doom for Coach Tedford. Also, this team lost 5 defensive starters from a top 25 yards allowed per game unit and to make things worse their hardest opponents are away (UW, Oregon, Stanford, ASU).
Oregon State - Katz to Rodgers could save this team from the cellar but the loss of Quizz from the 97th ranked rushing team means it won't be enough. Plus returning only 4 starters on defense that allowed over 400 yards is really bad.
South
Arizona State - Brock Osweiler's last two games in 2010 looked like this: 647 yards, 5 TDs 0 INTs and Cameron Marshall went over 100 yards combined in the Sun Devils last 4 games. Oh, by the way, this team scored 32 points per game. Oh, by the way they are returning 19 starters. Also, they miss Stanford which helps immensely.
Utah - If they start off strong, they'll finish strong with 5 of their final 6 games against teams they should beat.
USC - Matt Barkley looks to have a strong year to parlay it into a high draft pick and they have two kids who will be household names after this season in Robert Woods and Marc Tyler. Inconsistency and the inability to stop the ball was their undoing last year and will be again this year.
Arizona - The saying goes "If you're going through hell, keep going." That will replace the "Bear Down" mantra for these Wildcats from Sept. 8th to October 1st when they play at Oklahoma State, home vs. Stanford, home vs. Oregon then ending at USC. I don't think they can prevent their year from spiraling out of control after they start 1-4 even with underrated Nick Foles.
UCLA - With no passing game and a 91st ranked defense coupled with my hatred for Rick Neuheisel I refuse to rank them higher.
Colorado - A team in transition and without any real playmakers and in a very tough division means this team is heading straight to the basement.
Championship Game: Oregon over Arizona State
Michael Clouse: Commenter on Seattle Sportsblog
North
1. Oregon - Ducks go out on top before Kelly bolts among potential sanctions in Eugene.
2. Stanford - Losing Harbaugh will hurt, but Luck and a solid stable of returning starters will keep Stanford in contention for the North title.
3. Washington - This is the year where Sark and Co turn the corner, despite losing Locker. A very good running game led by Polk and weapons on the outside will help an inexperience Price.
4. Washington State - Tuel and Marquess Wilson lead an offense with high scoring capabilty. Is it enough to cover up a poor defense and lead WSU to their first bowl game since 2003? They'll have to prove it before I buy into it.
5. Oregon State - They've been hit by the injury bug all Spring and lost their number one playmaker to the NFL, but Riley has bounced back after subpar years his entire career. Katz and James Rodgers will try and bring the offense back to respectability.
6. Cal - Tedford is finally on the hotseat and coming into 2012 with an inexperienced QB with no true weapons to play with will be the end of Tedford's tenure in Berkely.
South
1. USC - Despite being bowl ineligable for another year, this Trogans team is way too talented to not win the weak South. Expect big things from Barkley and Co on offense to get USC back on the national map...in a positive way.
2. Arizona State - I've been burned by picking them to take the next step before but with Erickson on the hotseat and one of the best defenses in the conference, the Sun Devils will compete for the South title.
3. Utah - They return a solid offense but how will it fare against much tougher defenses than in the Moutain West. A subpar secondary could be their achilles heel in the pass happy Pac-12.
4. Arizona - Stoops should be on the hot seat in my opinion after multiple disappointing finishes after fast starts. Foles and a solid receiving core should keep them in most games, but the new offensive scheme could be troublesome during a tough 4 game stretch of Oklahoma St, Stanford, Oregon and USC early on.
5. UCLA - After making a big splash signing Neuheisel in 2008, the Bruins have failed to get back near the top of the conference as expected. The troubles will continue this year and end the Slick Rick era in in Westwood.
6. Colorado - The team lacks talent on both sides of the ball. Add that to a brutal schedule, I'd be shocked if the Buffaloes finished anything but last in the conference.
Pac 12 Title Game: Oregon over Arizona State
Pac 12 Player of the Year - LaMichael James
Pac 12 Coach of the Year - Chip Kelly
Kris Shellenbarger: Creator of Seattle Sportsblog, Moderator of Seattle Sportsblog group, writer of Seattle Sportshub
Well I broke down each and every Pac-12 game when I did my predictions. It was tough to say this team will beat that team but that is what I did.
North
1. Oregon Ducks (11-2,8-1): The Ducks are easily the most talented team in the conference as they look to three peat as conference champs. The Ducks have Thomas and James in the backfield which will present plenty of problems for opponents this season. The Ducks will overcome an early season loss to LSU to represent the Pac-12 in the Rose Bowl. Chip Kelly resigns end of season to take Georgia head coaching job to avoid the storm that is coming.
2. Stanford Cardinal (10-2,7-2): The Cardinal still have Andrew Luck which makes them one of the nations top teams. I feel like the Cardinal will play in a BCS game once again. I think losing Harbaugh will hurt them when they play the Ducks. After this season Luck will be the #1 pick in the NFL Draft of the Washington Redskins.
3. Washington Huskies (8-4,6-3): The Huskies are probably a year away from seriously competing for a Rose Bowl berth. Sarkisian has the program headed in the right direction which is light years ahead of where they were under Willingham. Chris Polk will pass Napoleon Kaufman as the all-time leading rusher in Huskies history this season.
4. California Golden Bears (7-5,5-5): Due to a home and home with Colorado last year both schools will play 10 games in Pac-12 play. I think Tedford is running out of time at California but a bowl game this year should buy him more time.
5. Oregon State Beavers (5-7,3-6): I just know Mike Riley is going to make me eat my words but I feel like the emergence of the Huskies that the Beavers will start to go downhill. So hard to compete in Pullman and Corvallis in this conference.
6. Washington State Cougars (4-8,2-7): I'm probably being a little nice with this pick. The Cougars have a ton to be excited about but their defense still can't stop anyone. I think this is Wulff's last season in Pullman as he'll never get a head coaching job again. Remember he was the same guy at Eastern Washington who lost to an average D-2 school in Central Washington.
South
1. USC Trojans (9-3,7-2): The Trojans are still on probation but I expect them to rebound from the past two disappointing seasons. Whenever you feature a quarterback that draft experts will say is a franchise quartrerback that is always a good thing. If the Trojans can somehow convince Barkley to return for his senior season look for them to be national championship contenders in 2012.
2. Utah Utes (9-3,7-2): The Pac-12 welcomes Utah with a gift by having them avoid both the Oregon Ducks and Stanford Cardinal. I do think the weekly grind of the Pac-12 schedule will get to Utah and they do have two non conference road games at BYU and Pittsburgh. After week one Utah doesn't get an "easy" opponent rest of the way.
3. Arizona State Sun Devils (8-4,6-3): The Sun Devils in year four under Dennis Erickson do just enough to save his job. The talent is there for the Sun Devils but I still see them dropping a game they should win(at WSU late in the season). The Sun Devils are a darkhorse to win the South this season.
4. Arizona Wildcats (4-8,2-7): I hate picking a senior quarterback like Nick Foles to have his team go 4-8 but I'm going to. The Wildcats lost five in a row to end last season and will most likely start off 1-4 this year. Having lost 9 of 10 I see their season spiraling out of control. Mike Stoops will survive this bad year but will be on the hot seat next season.
5. Colorado Buffaloes (2-10,1-9): The Colorado Buffaloes will be the whipping boys for the Pac-12 for a while. The Buffaloes like the Huskies in the middle part of this decade are a once proud program who was great in the 1980's and 1990's but have fallen on hard times. This year should be no different for the Buffaloes.
6. UCLA Bruins (3-9,1-8): The only Rose Bowl winning coach in this conference Rick Neuheisel will be fired after this year. Neuheisel like he did at Colorado and Washington has seen his team get worse the longer he's been there. His recruiting has always been terrible and at UCLA it has been no different.
Championship Game: Oregon 45, Utah 20
In conclusion, I hope you enjoyed my Pac-12 preview and predictions. I'm sure one team that I'm high on right now will lay a stinker and another team will do well who I have doing poorly. The Pac-12 north features two of the nations top teams while the South has four teams who could win it and I wouldn't be surprised. Scary thought how the fourth or fifth best team in the conference could possibly play for the Rose Bowl because of the Pac-12 championship game. I'm curious going forward how that game will screw over our top teams. By having the top seed host the game that does give the conference some insurance against that happening. Well this year should be fun as I'm excited for college football season to begin. The march towards the Rose Bowl starts very soon. This Saturday will be a very special day to many fans out there who are tired of baseball and preseason football. Good luck to your teams and hopefully I didn't mess up my picks too bad.
Labels:
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
2011 MLB season preview and predictions
By Kshell
With spring training finally coming to an end the start of the Major League Baseball season has finally arrived. Baseball is unique unlike any other sport where you have a six month grind in the season which spans over 162 games. Then to determine the best team in the sport the postseason is condensed to just who can get hot for three weeks and win 11 games. Typically in baseball the team with the best record doesn't win the World Series. The baseball playoffs is a crapshoot much like the NCAA mens basketball tournament. So while many will predict the two best teams to meet in the World Series that often doesn't happen.
In this following post I'll catch you up on the offseason by breaking down each division. I'll talk about each team although some teams don't have much to talk about. Some teams made some noise this offseason and like usual the rich got richer while the small market teams took a hit. That is how baseball works in the regular season but in the playoffs still comes down to timely hitting and great pitching. At the bottom several other people will give their predictions along with myself. Hopefully in six months from now my predictions weren't totally off. Now I'll breakdown each division in order of last years standings starting with the National League East.
National League:
National League East:
Philadelphia Phillies:
The four time division champions Philadelphia Phillies won the offseason World Series. The Phillies brought back Cliff Lee this offseason signing the ace to a five year 120 million dollar deal. The Phillies even though they lost Jayson Werth are the heavy favorites to return to the World Series like they did in 2008 and 2009. The Phillies hope to avoid what happened to them last year when they were upset to the San Francisco Giants in six games. The signing of Lee has brought comparisons to the Atlanta Braves of the 1990's. The Phillies feature Cy Young award winners Roy Halladay(21-10,2.44 ERA, 1.04 WHIP with 219 K's) and Cliff Lee(12-9,3.18 ERA, 1.00 WHIP with 185 K's) along with Roy Oswalt(13-13,2.76 ERA, 1.03 WHIP with 193 K's) and their fourth starter is 2008 World Series MVP Cole Hamels(12-11,3.06 ERA, 1.18 WHIP with 211 K's). Safe to say the Phillies will be a tough draw in October.
Atlanta Braves:
This will be an interesting year for the Atlanta Braves as manager Bobby Cox retired after the Braves were eliminated in four games in the NLDS. The Braves a franchise who was in the postseason 14 years in a row made it last year for the first time since 2005 last year. The Braves a busy offseason trading for second baseman Dan Uggla(.287/33/105 with 100 runs scored) which helps a lineup which features mostly left handed hitters. The Braves feature a young pitching staff with Tommy Hansen(10-11,3.33 ERA,1.17 WHIP with 173 K's) and Jair Jurrjens to go with veterans Tim Hudson(17-9,2.83 ERA,1.15 WHIP) and Derek Lowe(16-12, 4.00 ERA, 1.37 WHIP). The Braves lineup is strong with Uggla, Jason Heyward(.277/18/72 with 83 runs scored), and Brian McCann(.269/21/77). In any other division in the National League the Braves would be the huge favorites to win their division.
Florida Marlins:
The Florida Marlins once again slashed payroll by trading away Dan Uggla. The Marlins do feature a nice pitching staff in staff ace Josh Johnson(11-6, 2.30 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) along with young superstar Hanley Ramirez(.300/21 Hr's/76 RBI's/92 runs/32 steals). The Marlins do have some young talent and went 80-82 last year. They could be a sleeper team this year but are just in the wrong division.
New York Mets:
Look up mess in the dictionary and you'll find a picture of the New York Mets. The Mets despite being in the biggest market in the United States haven't won a World Series since 1986. The Mets lost Johan Santana(11-9,2.98 ERA,1.18 WHIP with 144 K's) before the season even began. The Mets are hoping for a bounce back year from Jose Reyes. The Mets still feature David Wright who is an elite player in the game. The Mets pitching staff is troublesome and look for them to miss the playoffs yet again.
Washington Nationals:
The Washington Nationals were horrible last season yet again. The bad news for the Nationals was pitching franchise Stephen Strasburg(5-3,2.91 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 92 K's in just 68 innings) going down for 18 months. The Nationals did sign Jayson Werth(.296/27/85 with 106 runs scored) in the offseason to give the fans some excitement. With Ryan Zimmerman(.307/25/85 with 85 runs), Werth, Ian Desmond and #1 pick overall Bryce Harper on the horizon the Nationals could be a factor in a year or two down the road.
National League Central:
Cincinnati Reds:
The Cincinnati Reds surprised everyone by winning the NL central for the first time since 1995. When the Reds made the playoffs however they were given a rude welcome when Roy Halladay no-hit them in game one. The Reds were eventually swept by the Phillies in three games having been shutout in two of those games. The Reds feature a nice young core on their roster. The young stars are Jay Bruce(.281/25/70 with 80 runs score) and MVP Joey Votto(.324/37/113 with 106 runs and 16 stolen bases). The Reds also feature the electric Aroldis Chapman who has thrown over 100 miles per hour than any pitcher in baseball last season combined. Chapman only pitched for a month by the way. Chapman struck out 19 batters in just 13 1/3 innings, he'll most likely start the year in the bullpen. People sleeping on the Reds are making a mistake as they are primed for a run.
St.Louis Cardinals:
No team had a more disasterous offseason than the St.Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals lost ace pitcher Adam Wainwright(20-11, 2.42 ERA, 213 K's, 1.05 WHIP) for the entire season. You think that was bad what followed up next was even worse for the Cardinals. The Cardinals failed to reach an extension for Albert Pujols(.312/42/118 with 115 runs and 14 steals) meaning Pujols will be a free agent at the end of the season. There is no way a mid market like the Cardinals will be able to compete with some of the bigger markets. So the moment the Cardinals start to slump there will be whispers about Pujols possibly being traded. This will be a season long distraction. If the Cardinals can get past that distraction they still have Pujols the best hitter in the game along with Matt Holliday(.312/28/103 with 95 runs) and Lance Berkman. They still have Chris Carpenter(16-9,3.22 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) as the staff ace. The Cardinals will definately be a team everyone will be keeping their eye on.
Milwaukee Brewers:
The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to return to the postseason for the first time since 2008. The Brewers made two pitching moves in the offseason trading for Shaun Marcum(13-8,3.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) from the Toronto Blue Jays then traded for 2009 Cy Young award winner Zach Greinke(10-14,4.17 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) from the Kansas City Royals. The Brewers are hoping Greinke can be like he was in 2009 where he went 16-8 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Brewers have always had the hitters with Prince Fielder(.261/32/83 with 94 runs) and Ryan Braun(.304/25/103 with 101 runs scored). The Brewers finally have the right mix of pitching and hitting. The Brewers are my sleeper in the National League.
Houston Astros:
The Houston Astros are quickly becoming an irrelevant franchise. The Astro's feature no stars on their roster. The one brightspot is staff ace Brett Myers(14-8,3.14 ERA, 1.24 WHIP with 180 K's) who in his first 32 starts of the year pitched six innings or more. That is the defination of a horse pitcher.
Chicago Cubs:
The Chicago Cubs still looking to break the over century hump of winning a World Series. The Cubs haven't won he World Series since 1908 and it's not looking like that streak is going to end anytime soon. The Cubs were a huge disappointment last season and are hoping for some bounce back years from Carlos Zambrano, Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez and free agent signing Carlos Pena. The lovable losers seem destined to have yet another disappointing season.
Pittsburgh Pirates:
If you are depressed about your current baseball team be thankful you aren't a Pittsburgh Pirates fan. A once proud franchise that has featured such greats as Honus Wagner, Roberto Clemente, Willie Stargell and Barry Bonds(pre-steroids) has fallen off a cliff. The Pirates haven't had a winning season since 1992 when Sid Bream's memorable dash home eliminated them from the NLCS for the third straight year. The Pirates had the worst record last year at 57-105 and look for them to be terrible once again. The one bright spot is Andrew McCutchen(.286/16/56 with 94 runs and 33 SB's).
National League West:
San Francisco Giants:
The San Francisco Giants last season won the division title on the last game of the season. Then the Giants won their first World Series in San Francisco during that playoff stretch upsetting the Phillies and then Texas Rangers. The Giants still feature a strong pitching staff with two-time Cy Young award winner Tim Lincecum(16-10,3.43 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 231 K's), Matt Cain(13-11,3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP with 177 K's), Jonathan Sanchez(13-9, 3.07 ERA, 1.23 WHIP with 205 K's) and youngster Madison Bumgarnger who went 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP in the postseason last year. The Giants once again are the only team who can go toe to toe with the Phillies in the playoffs when it comes to pitching. The Giants once again will struggle with the offense losing World Series MVP Edgar Renteria in the offseason. The Giants will still be the favorites to win this tough division which features four quality teams.
San Diego Padres:
The San Diego Padres surprised everyone last season winning 90 games which saw manager Bud Black take home the manager of the year award. The Padres like most small market teams have to do traded away superstar Adrian Gonzalez to the Boston Red Sox. The Padres already have a poor offense and without Gonzalez one has to wonder where are they going to get their runs from? The Padres will feature a strong pitching staff which as a team had a 3.39 ERA. The Padres are hoping the pitching staff can carry them once again and this time not fall apart down the stretch.
Colorado Rockies:
The Colorado Rockies had a strange season for them. Normally the Rockies catch fire down the stretch but last year they were 83-79 finishing the year 1-9 in their last 10 games. The Rockies are another team primed to make a splash this season. The Rockies feature stud hitters in Carlos Gonzalez(.336/34/117 with 111 runs and 26 SB's) and Troy Tulowitzki(.315/27/95 with 89 runs scored and 11 SB's). The Rockies also feature staff ace Ubaldo Jimenez(19-8,2.88 ERA,1.15 WHIP with 214 K's) who started last years All-Star game. The Rockies have a staff ace and dominant hitters which makes them a dangerous club.
Los Angeles Dodgers:
The Los Angeles Dodgers are replacing hall of fame manager Joe Torre with hitting coach Don Mattingly. The Dodgers coming off a disappointing 80-82 season still feature a strong pitching staff. The Dodgers feature staff ace Clayton Kershaw(13-10,2.91 ERA,1.18 WHIP with 212 K's) who is followed by Chad Billingsley(12-11,3.57 ERA, 1.28 WHIP with 171 K's) and Tedd Lilly(10-12, 3.62 ERA, 1.08 WHIP with 166 K's). As you can see the Dodgers have a good pitching staff to compete in this division. The Dodgers are hoping Andrew Eithier can have a big breakout season for them to carry the offense. This division features four good teams and any of these four teams wouldn't surprise me if they won the division.
Arizona Diamondbacks:
It was just four years ago the D-backs had the best record in the national league and appeared to be the team destined to go on a run. Flash forward to 2010 where they went 65-97 you have to wonder what happened to this team. The D-backs even tried to trade away young superstar Justin Upton who is only 23 years old and is already an all-star. The D-backs with the strength of this division appear headed for another long season.
American League:
American League East:
Tampa Bay Rays:
The Tampa Bay Rays fresh off their second division title in franchise history saw some major shakeups on their team. The Rays lost closer Rafael Soriano in division to the New York Yankees, long time all-star Carl Crawford in division to the Boston Red Sox, Matt Garza and Carlos Pena to the Chicago Cubs. In fact the Rays bullpen will be entirely different from last season. So after all that it would be easy to assume this is going to be a bad team which would be a mistake. The Rays went out and signed two veterans Johnny Damon and Manny Ramirez. Both guys will be motivated going against their old teams the Red Sox and Yankees. The Rays also feature staff ace David Price(19-6,2.72 ERA,1.19 WHIP with 188 K's) along with star hitters such as Evan Longoria and B.J. Upton. The Rays should still be able to compete in this division.
New York Yankees:
The New York Yankees were surprisingly quiet this offseason failing to land any of the big free agents. You add in the fact they didn't add Cliff Lee last year at the trade deadline one has to wonder what is going on in the Bronx. Even with the quiet moves the Yankees still feature a strong offense if not the best offense in baseball. The Yankees still have Mark Teixeira(.256/33/108 with 113 runs), Robinson Cano(.319/29/109 with 103 runs), Derek Jeter the Yankees captain(.270/10/67 with 111 runs) and Alex Rodriguez(.270/30/125 with 74 runs) which is pretty amazing for an infield who with the exception of Cano had "down" years. The Yankees still feature a staff ace and former Cy Young award winner in C.C. Sabathia(21-7,3.18 ERA,1.19 with 197 K's) at the top of the rotation. Outside of Sabathia the Yankees staff is pretty weak with A.J. Burnett as the second starter, Ian Nova is the fourth and Freddy Garcia(yes that Freddy Garcia) as the fifth starter. The Yankees bullpen should be strong with Soriano and Mariano Rivera. The Yankees aren't built for the playoffs unless they can somehow trade for another front line starter.
Boston Red Sox:
The favorites of the American League the Boston Red Sox had a big offseason. Had the Red Sox made no moves at all they would be in good shape as they won 89 games last year despite Kevin Youkilis missing 60 games, Dustin Pedroia missing 87 games, and Jacoby Ellsbury missing all but 18 games last season. The Red Sox basically acquired three all-star bats for nothing. Now you add in the free agent signings of Carl Crawford(.307/19/90 with 110 runs scored and 47 stolen bases) and Adrian Gonzalez(.298/31/101 with 87 runs scored). The Red Sox lineup will make pitchers work this season as they basically went out and snagged five all-star calibar bats to a team that won 89 games last season. The Red Sox also feature a strong pitching staff in Jon Lester(19-9,3.25 ERA, 1.20 WHIP with 225 K's), Clay Buchholz(17-7,2.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) along with veterans John Lackey and Josh Beckett. Pretty easy to see why despite being in a strong division the Red Sox stand out amongst everyone in the American League let alone the East.
Toronto Blue Jays:
The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off an 85 win season despite trading away staff ace Roy Halladay in the offseason. Nobody hit more home runs last season than the Blue Jays who hit 257 home runs. The Blue Jays were led by Jose Bautista(.260/54/124 with 109 runs) last season as Bautista had just 59 career home runs entering the season. The Blue Jays feature a young pitching staff led by Ricky Romero(14-9,3.73 ERA,1.29 WHIP with 174 K's) who will be the staff ace. The Blue Jays will once again be a good team stuck in the wrong division which has hurt them this whole decade.
Baltimore Orioles:
The good news for the Baltimore Orioles is that they finally have a quality manager in Buck Showalter. The better news is the Orioles once they get rid of Showalter will make the World Series as the three previous teams who have fired Showalter have gone on to the World Series shortly after. The Orioles this offseason made some nice moves picking up Derek Lee, J.J. Hardy, and Vladimir Guerrero to go with their young core. The Orioles will put up some runs but the problem is they won't be able to get anybody out.
American League Central:
Minnesota Twins:
The Minnesota Twins won the divison last year and for the fourth time since 2003 were eliminated in the ALDS to the New York Yankees. The Twins losing streak has gone to 12 games against the Yankees as they were once again swept in the first round last year. The Twins once again will try and get over the Yankees hurdle this season. The Twins return all-star closer Joe Nathan. The Twins still have a solid offense featuring former MVP's Justin Morneau(.345/18/56 in just 81 games) and Joe Mauer(.327/9/75 with 88 runs). The Twins feature staff ace Francisco Liriano(14-10,3.62 ERA, 1.26 WHIP with 201 K's). The Twins are hoping this is finally the year for them to get by the mighty Yankees.
Chicago White Sox:
The Chicago White Sox who has missed the postseason the last two years are hoping to return back to October. The White Sox resigned Paul Konerko(.312/39/111 with 89 runs) and signed power hitter Adam Dunn(.260/38/105 with 85 runs). Dunn has hit 38+ homeruns the past seven seasons in a row and will be going to a launching pad. The White Sox also traded for Edwin Jackson who threw a no-hitter last season. The White Sox made some moves in a winnable division. Look for the White Sox to light up the scoreboard this season.
Detroit Tigers:
The Tigers are coming off an 81-81 disappointing season. The Tigers did make a big signing bringing in Victor Martinez(.302/20/79 with 64 runs) to go with slugger Miguel Cabrera(.328/38/126 with 111 runs score) who has had some offseason problems but can still hit. The Tigers still feature flame thrower Justin Verlander(18-9,3.37 ERA,1.16 WHIP with 219 K's) to go with their young staff. The Tigers who haven't been to the postseason since they made the World Series since 2006 will be hoping to end that streak.
Cleveland Indians:
Like the Arizona Diamondbacks the Indians fortunes have change quite a bit in four years. The Indians were just one game away from the World Series in 2007 but blew a 3-1 series lead against the eventual World Series Champions Boston Red Sox. The Indians have since traded away two Cy Young award winning pitchers(Sabathia and Lee) and seen two young promising stars nosedive(Grady Sizemore and Travis Hafner). The Indians who haven't won a World Series since 1948 appear to continue the sports trend of Cleveland sports sucking.
Kansas City Royals:
The Pittsburgh Pirates of the American League the Royals who once were a great team from 1976-1985 haven't been to the postseason since that 1985 World Championship season. The Royals have had just one winning season(2003) since 1995. During that time the Royals have finished last place in their division nine times in probably the weakest division in the American League too. The Royals after trading away staff ace Zach Greinke appear headed for another losing season and if not for the Cleveland Indians would finish in last place.
American League West:
Texas Rangers:
The Texas Rangers who prior to last season had never won a postseason series found themselves winning the American League Pennant over the New York Yankees. The Rangers lost Vladimir Guerrero to free agency and most importantly staff ace Cliff Lee as well. The Rangers did sign Adrian Beltre(.321/28/102 with 84 runs) to help offset the loss of Guerrero. The Rangers feature MVP Josh Hamilton(.359/32/100 with 95 runs), Ian Kinsler and Michael Young. The Rangers will still have C.J. Wilson(15-8,3.35 ERA,1.25 WHIP with 170 K's) who stepped up big time last season and will now be the staff ace. The Rangers are hoping their hitters can carry them throughout the season as the pitching behind Wilson appears to be thin.
Oakland A's:
The Oakland A's finished last season at 81-81 and is kind of everyone's sleeper pick to win the west. The reason for that is once again in the Billy Beane era the A's feature a strong pitching staff led by Trevor Cahill(18-8,2.97 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) behind Cahill you have Brett Anderson(7-6, 2.80 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), Gio Gonzalez(15-9,3.23 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) and Dallas Braden(11-14,3.50 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) who threw a perfect game last year. The A's also have Rich Harden on the DL who could be their fifth starter. The A's on offense went out and signed Hideki Matsui, Josh Willingham and David DeJesus. The A's are the exact opposite of the Texas Rangers which should make this AL West race interesting.
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim:
Many are sleeping on the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim who prior to last season had won the American League West five of the previous six seasons. The Angels went out and acquired Vernon Wells(.273/31/88 with 79 runs) to bolster their offense. Like the A's the Angels will be led by their pitching which saw a breakout season last year from Jered Weaver(13-12,3.01 ERA, 1.07 WHIP with 233 K's) who will be joined with Dan Haren who was 5-4 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while he was with the Angels. The Angels have the 1-2 punch in their rotation so if they make the playoffs that is a team that nobody wants to draw in the first round. The AL West will have a terrific three team race that will come down to the last week.
Seattle Mariners:
The Seattle Mariners who I previewed earlier in the week look to be rebuilding this season. The Mariners feature Cy Young award pitcher Felix Hernandez and appear to be going in a youth movement. The Mariners have had just two winning seasons since 2004. If you want to read more about the Mariners just read my season preview where I give an in depth look at the Mariners.
Well that is all for my previewing on all the teams in baseball. Now here comes the fun part where several people including myself will make our predictions. Should be interesting whose predictions turn out the closest and whose predictions turn out way off.
Predictions:
Patton Richard: Contributer to Seattle Sports Blog
AL East: Tampa Bay Rays
AL Central: Detroit Tigers
AL West: Texas Rangers
AL Wild Card: Boston Red Sox
ALCS: Rays over Red Sox
NL East: Philadelphia Phillies
NL Central: Cincinnati Reds
NL West: Colorado Rockies
NL Wild Card: Florida Marlins
NLCS: Phillies over Marlins
World Series Champ: Tampa Bay Rays
NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez
AL MVP: Evan Longoria
AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
NL Cy Young: Cliff Lee
AL Rookie Of The Year: J.P. Arencibia, Catcher, Toronto
NL Rookie Of The Year: Freddie Freeman, 1B, Braves
Korey Payne: Blogger and contributer to SSB
AL EAST- New York Yankees
AL CENTRAL- Chicago White Sox
AL WEST- Los Angeles Angels
NL EAST- Philadelphia Phillies
NL CENTRAL- St. Louis Cardinals
NL WEST- San Diego Padres
AL WILD CARD TEAM- Boston Red Sox
NL WILD CARD TEAM- San Francisco Giants
ALCS- New York Yankees Vs. Boston Red Sox
NLCS- Philadelphia Phillies Vs. San Diego Padres
WORLD SERIES- New York Yankees winning against Philadelphia Phillies
AL Cy Young- Felix Hernandez
NL Cy Young- Roy Halladay
AL MVP- Alex Rodriguez
NL MVP- Albert Pujols
100 Loss Teams- Arizona Diamondbacks, Cleveland Indians
Michael Hourigan: Contributer to SSB
AL East - Red Sox
AL Central - Twins
AL West - Angels
NL East - Phillies
NL Central - Brewers
NL West - Dodgers
AL Wild Card - Yankees
NL Wild Card - Braves
ALCS - Red Sox vs. Yankees
NLCS - Dodgers vs. Phillies
World Series - Red Sox vs. Phillies, Phillies win
Mark A. Miller: Contributer to SSB and leader of FANS!
NL LEAST:
1. Philthydelphia Phullies
2. Notlanta Native American Ax Wielders
3. New Yawk Muttsb
4. Florida Marlints
5. Washington Gnats
NL SUCKTREL:
1. Shitcocko Flubs
2. St. Loser Crudinals
3. Milwaukee Boozehounds
4. Ho'stown Assholes
5. Cincinnati Commies
6. Pissburgh Buttpirates
NL WEAK:
1. San Fransicko Gay-ants
2. Los Angeles Doogers of Los Angeles
3. San Diego Fathers
4. Colorado Rookies
5. Arizona Gardnersnakes
AL LEAST:
1. Baaaawston Deadsox
2. New Yawk Spankers
3. Toronto BlowJays
4. Tampax Bay D-Gays
5. Baltimoh Oreos
AL SUCKTREL:
1. Minnehaha Twinks
2. Shitcago Whitesux
3. Det-riot Le Tigres
4. Kansas Shitty Royal Pains
5. Cleveland Native Americans
AL WEAK:
1. Los Angeles Angels of Anahiem of Orange County of California of the United States of North America of Earth of the Milkey Way of the Universe of Infinity
2. Texass Lamegers
3. Cokeland Asslickics
4. Seattle eMbarrassers
AL Jokers: New Yawk Spankers
NL Jokers: Los Angeles Doogers of Los Angeles
NL CHAMPIONS: Philthydelphia Phullies
AL CHAMPIONS: Minnehaha Twinks
World Series Champions: Minnehaha Twinks
AL Cy Young: David Price
NL Cy Young: Tim Licksthecum
NL MVP: Ryan Howard
AL MVP: Gay Roid
AL MOY: Gardenhire
NL MOY: Mattingly
AL ROY: Ackley
NL ROY: Chapman
AL HR LEADER: Gay-Roid
NL HR LEADER: Fielder
Adam Lispie: Moderator of Seahawks Huddle
NL:
East-
Phillies
Braves
Mets
Nats
Marlins
Central-
Brewers
Cards
Reds
Astros
Cubs
Pirates
West-
Rockies
Giants
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
Padres
Wild Card: Braves
AL:
East-
Red Sox
Yankees
Blue Jays
Rays
Orioles
Central-
White Sox
Twins
Tigers
Indians
Royals
West-
Rangers
A's
Angels
Mariners
Wild Card- Yankees
AL champs- Red Sox
NL champs- Phillies
WS champs- Red Sox
MVP:
NL- Pujols
AL- Adrian Gonzalez
Cy Young:
NL- Ubaldo Jimenez
AL- Jon Lester
MOY:
NL- Fredi Gonzalez
AL- Terry Francona
ROY
NL- Bryce Harper
AL- Michael Piñeda
HR leader:
NL- Pujols
AL- Adam Dunn
Michael Clouse: Friend of SSB and poster on SSB group page
AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: White Sox
AL West: Angels
AL Wild Card: Twins
ALCS: Red Sox over White Sox
NL East: Phillies
NL Central: Reds
NL West: Rockies
NL Wild Card: Braves
NLCS: Rockies over Phillies
World Series champ: Red Sox
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez
NL MVP: Carlos Gonzalez
AL Cy: Lester
NL Cy: Lincecum
Jonah Hobson: Standout outfielder for LCC Red Devils(2005-06) and HPU(07-09)
AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: White Sox
AL West: A's
AL Wild Card: Twins
ALCS: Red Sox over A's
NL East: Braves
NL Central: Reds
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Card: Phillies
NLCS: Braves over Phillies
World Series Champion: Red Sox
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez
NL MVP: Joey Votto
AL CY: David Price
NL CY: Cliff Lee
AL ROY: Jeremy Hellickson
NL ROY: Freddie Freeman
Three crazy predictions:
1. Pirates and Royals both finish within five games of .500
2. No one hits more than 43 HR's
3. At LEAST four 20 game winners this season
Kris Shellenbarger: The owner, gm and coach of Seattle SportsBlog
AL East: Red Sox( Too much hitting and pitching)
AL Central: Tigers( Verlander is a horse, Love the Victor signing)
AL West: A's(Amazing pitching plus I think Rangers fall back)
AL Wild Card: Yankees(Pitching is terrible but still great offense)
ALCS: Red Sox over Tigers(Sox are head and shoulders better than everyone in AL)
NL East: Phillies(Great starting staff although keep an eye on early injuries)
NL Central: Brewers(When Greinke comes back look out!)
NL West: Giants(The Champs still have a great staff, will clinch on last day)
NL Wild Card: Braves(will have second best record in NL)
NLCS: Braves over Phillies(payback from 1993 when Phillies upset the Braves)
World Series Champ: Boston Red Sox(Unless they get bitten by the injury bug they are going to be very tough).
AL MVP: Adrian Gonzalez(Look at his numbers last few years. He was at Petco with no protection. Now in Fenway)
NL MVP: Dan Uggla(He is exactly what the Braves need and will have a monster season)
AL CY: Verlander(He'll have a monster year to carry the Tigers)
NL CY: Lee(He'll announce being back to the NL with a CY Young award)
Well guys that is all for the predictions. I hope you enjoyed the predictions I'm sure some you disagree with. Keep in mind that in baseball not everything is played according to paper so each of us took some risks in our picks. I'll be looking forward to seeing how we all did on our predictions come October.
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